Daily Archives: June 27, 2006

Did Technology Peak in the 1970s?

kitchen.gifSingularity watchers believe technology is advancing, but David Bodanis, a former Oxford University lecturer, trend consultant for BMW, and author of E=mc2: A Biography of the World’s Most Famous Equation, thinks the really important innovations happened 30 years ago–and Americans are just repackaging them in with slick graphics and marketing gimmicks.

In reality, says Bodanis in an article he wrote for the current issue of Discover Magazine, America is advancing more slowly than other countries because:

A) We have so much invested in our success this far–we can’t afford the risk and downtime for innovation
B) We’re bogged down in patent costs and risk management
C) Careers in the hard sciences don’t pay enough to be attractive
D) Americans are balancing the urge to explore new frontiers with the desire to cocoon at home

Read the whole story…

It's Space Arkapalooza!

So much great stuff, where do we start?

Kathy kicked us off with an intriguing discussion triggered by Stephen Hawking’s recent comments about space and humanity’s survival.

Stephen (Gordon) quickly followed suit.

Then came the Space Ark Survey.

And now we have several new space-ark-related future scenarios on the L2si / Time Highway site ready for rating / commentary (or refutation via additional scenarios!)

We’ll Go to the Moon

We’ll Go to Mars

We’ll Go to the Stars

We’ll Build a Dyson Sphere

spaceark.jpg

Have we missed anything? I doubt it, seeing as we’ve been over all this before.

Gosh, this is so much fun it almost makes me wish the world was ending right now!

It’s Space Arkapalooza!

So much great stuff, where do we start?

Kathy kicked us off with an intriguing discussion triggered by Stephen Hawking’s recent comments about space and humanity’s survival.

Stephen (Gordon) quickly followed suit.

Then came the Space Ark Survey.

And now we have several new space-ark-related future scenarios on the L2si / Time Highway site ready for rating / commentary (or refutation via additional scenarios!)

We’ll Go to the Moon

We’ll Go to Mars

We’ll Go to the Stars

We’ll Build a Dyson Sphere

spaceark.jpg

Have we missed anything? I doubt it, seeing as we’ve been over all this before.

Gosh, this is so much fun it almost makes me wish the world was ending right now!

Will the Space Ark Have an In-Flight Movie?

James Pinkerton has written an excellent article over at Tech Central Station entitled “The Ultimate Life Boat.”

Hawking believes that human destructiveness, combined with bad luck, could destroy [civilization and]… the entire ecosystem…

If Hawking is right about this impending risk, then we have a duty to listen, and to act — even if that means going where no man has gone before. That’s how we can keep the partnership between the generations in force; we don’t have to keep faith with the past and the future only from the platform of this planet.

We’ve written about some of these risks here and here at The Speculist.

Humanity can take steps right away to improve our chances in the event of a global disaster. Pinkerton mentioned the Svalbard Global Seed Vault. This arctic “doomsday vault” will be the largest and most diverse collection of seeds in the world – a Fortress of Solitude – for food.

But Stephen Hawking and Pinkerton are right about the ultimate answer to this risk – permanent off-world colonies. Such colonies would serve to protect humanity from extinction in most disaster scenarios.

Pinkerton thinks there is a danger of humanity turning inward to virtual reality without having a physical presence elsewhere. While it might be nice to plug in to a virtual heaven-on-earth, it wouldn’t save us from a meteor strike.

I think it will go the other way. VR can promote the possibility of settling off-world. You’d think that settling an inhospitable planet like Mars would be no day at the beach – but with VR it could be exactly that. Settlers could live in their own virtual Malibu mansions by the sea while physically being in places that most people would never choose to be.