Author Archives: Stephen Gordon

FastForward Radio

The first audio edition of…

Need some good news? Phil and Stephen discussed why they think the developed world is caught in a cycle of virtue. And, yeah, they’re still optimists after the horrible week on Wall Street.


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This seems like a big deal…

Computers figuring out what words mean

It’s probably more accurate to say that computers are being taught what words mean.

The first use of this technology will be to improve web searches. Since the computer understands the meaning behind words, it will be more successful finding what you really want than it is currently by just matching words.

We have taught the computer virtually all the meanings of words and phrases in the English language,” Cognition chief executive Scott Jarus told AFP.

“This is clearly a building block for Web 3.0, or what is known as the Semantic Web. It has taken 30 years; it is a labor of love,” Jarus said.

The semantic map is reportedly the world’s largest, and gives computers a vocabulary more than 10 times as extensive as that of a typical US college graduate.

The coming third generation of life online is predicted to feature intuitive artificial intelligence applications that work swiftly across broadband Internet connections.

When applied to Internet searches, semantic technology delivers results oriented to what people seem to be seeking instead of simply matching words used to online content.

For example, a semantic online search for “melancholy songs with birds” would know to link sadness in lyrics with various species of birds.

Cognition says it has also “semantically enabled” globally popular online encyclopedia Wikipedia.

Phil asked “AI or IA?” This seems to be evidence that we are close to AI.

FastForward Radio

Memes! Part 2

Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon talked about memes:

meme.jpg

What memes should die?

What memes should be promoted?

What are the memes that somebody needs to get going?


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Room for Improvement

Being human, we are always trying to find a way to improve our condition. We’re never satisfied with the status quo.

One very important metric for improvement is life span.

lifespan graph.gif

I found the above graph in a paper by Marvin Minsky. It shows that only about 20% of people lived to see age 45 in ancient Rome. By 1900, 20% of people lived to just above age 70. By 1960 20% made it to age 85.

Check out that last “all diseases cured” curve. If we cure all diseases (all diseases, that is, except aging itself) 20% will make it to 95. So if you’re part of that lucky 1 in 5, curing all disease would give you only 10 years more than you would have had in 1960. And the maximum life span hasn’t increased at all.

FastForward Radio

Memes!

Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon discussed memes:

meme.jpg

How do memes shape the future?


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FastForward Radio

Weathering Storms; The Power of Inclusiveness; The Future of Work

Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon observed Labor Day with a special between-the-political-conventions edition of FastForward Radio.

They talked about Hurricane Gustav and the future of humanity’s relationship with the weather, the future of labor, the changing face of politics, and what a Speculist looks for in a presidential candidate.


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Running Like Clockwork

Back during the 1970′s my Grandfather Shelby Gordon spent much of his retirement in his wood working shop. He made wooden swings, shelves, and – most impressively – grandfather clocks. Here’s the one I have in my dining room:

GG clock.JPG

You don’t plug these clocks into the wall. They use weights. About once a week you pull the chains to raise the weights up and they slowly work their way down.

I thought about that clock when I read this article about storing wind mill energy:

one of the most serious issues raised by the [wind power] naysayers was that the wind does not always blow when you need it.

But a New Jersey company plans to announce on Tuesday that it is working on a solution to this perennial problem with wind power: using wind turbines to produce compressed air that can be stored underground or in tanks and released later to power generators during peak hours.

Its a great idea in part because its so simple. It doesn’t require expensive batteries or capacitors to store power. Just an air compressor. Its a totally mechanical solution.

With similar ease weights like in my grandfather clock could store power. These windmills are very tall. For perspective, check out the stairs/service entrance at the bottom right of this windmill:

windmill2.JPG

If the wind is blowing hard when the price of electricity is low (like at night), why not have the windmill pull weights up to the top of the tower? It could be engineered to pull several weights or geared to slowly pull one very large weight up the tower. When the electricity is needed the weights would fall.

One of my economics professors once told me that the purest application of supply and demand theory he ever saw was at a hydroelectric dam control center. The controller watches an indicator that tells what the supply is – water behind the dam – and another indicator shows the price of electricity. These indicators were probably analog dials back when my professor toured that plant. I’m sure its computerized now. But they try to match power generation to that time when the price of electricity (and the need for electricity) is highest. Unless, of course, the water gets too high behind the dam. Then they’ll generate regardless of the price of electricity.

Whether the answer is compressed air or weights, mechanical storage would allow windmills to function like hydroelectric dams and be better at providing power when its needed. And that would also improve the profitability of these power plants.

FastForward Radio

Long Shot Futures, Part 2

Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon talked about long shot futures – futures that they think aren’t likely, but are hoping for anyway!

miracle.bmp

We can always be surprised.


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FastForward Radio

Long Shot Futures, Part 1

Sunday night Phil Bowermaster and Stephen Gordon talked about long shots…

long shot.jpg

No, not who has a shot of hooking up with whom. They talked about future developments that aren’t likely, but that they’re pulling for anyway.

Ric Ocasek is just a reminder that sometimes long shots pay off.


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