Author Archives: Phil Bowermaster

This Was a Hell of a Quake

Tokyo, Japan - seen from the North Observatory... 

 

[Regular Speculist readers know THE JAB as an occasional commenter on the site and chatroom participant on FastForward Radio. THE JAB currently resides in Tokyo and here provides his account of the past couple of weeks. The role that technology plays is really quite remarkable.]

 

Hi Phil,
We’ve had light conversation in the past and as I am in Tokyo I wanted to give you my experiences being in a catastrophe in one of the most futuristic cities in the world.
I’ll save from extolling the virtues of the Japanese people who are stoic and incredible in the face of the disaster. There is no panic here, apart from foreigners getting aggitated calls from home urging them to leave. Many have now.
I’ll also refrain from the HOW COOL IS JAPANESE ENGINEERING!!!! thoughts saturating my brain. But as I listen to the show all the time I just wanted to write to you guys to give you an insight to the way that my technology has reduced this time from catastrophe to minor inconvenience.
I’ll try to do this chronologically (i’m not a writer so bare with me).
When Fridays quake hit here, It was exactly the same as being on a large ship in very rough seas. It was impossible to stay standing unless holding a doorframe. I couldn’t believe the building was still standing, let alone unphased,  but this was true for all buildings in Tokyo. Electricity, internet, water and gas in the metropolis were unaffected and
believe me: This was a hell of a quake in Tokyo.
Within about 30 seconds after I had a torch, passport, penknife, iphone in my jacket pocket and was out the front door. I was out on the street when the second quake
hit a few minutes later.
All trains in Tokyo stopped seconds before quake hit so many of those people who had been on trains we walking around in eerie silence.
All mobile communication went down and it was impossible to call or message people. This remained the situation for the rest of the day and night. I think this was mostly overload on the services.
Back at the house (after 30 mins) we watched tv in horror as the waves took out town after town up north.Later that night after dark we walked around Ikebukuro (the closest city/town), as we are central and many people were walking from one side of Tokyo to the other,
the streets were crowded. Huge queues of people were waiting for buses and hard-line phone booths.

I felt a little guity walking past them SKYPING IRELAND. I found out later that the mobile phone companies had all opened their wifi zones for free. But the paid phone net
was also working fine.

Back home again FaceBook became an amazing and necessary hub. Within minutes of logging in I literally knew the locations 90%+ of my friends (And their state of mind).
I think over the last few days I have received or sent over 2000 messages. Although there were a lot of panic posts and concern it was actually possible to calm people, and be calmed. Certainly this would not have been possible a few years ago. Gallow humour abounded too. But that was very necessary.

I think SKYPE helped a lot in the hours after the quake and FACEBOOK was most useful after. Google also within hours has a page dedicated to Gaijin like myself who’s Japanese
needs a little improving.
I was on SKYPE to foreign countries on my phone while walking past 200 people queues for phone booths.

Facebook allowed me to know where and how most of my friend’s were.

Google had a page up for Gaijin who’s Japanese isn’t fluent. HOWEVER, in shops I was able to use JIbbigo and google translate to ask questions and understand answers in realtime.

On facebook I had conversations with people in at least a dozen languages (using google translate).

There have been many quakes since but I get NOTIFICATIONS on my iphone 10-20 seconds in advance with apps.

As the country hasn’t stopped moving in 4 days most people have a little motion sickness. I can check the wobble with Seismographs ON MY IPHONE4.
I get nhk english newsfeeds to the phone as they don’t sensationalize and interview scientists and nobel lauriates for their opinions (which quickly set your mind at ease)

Not like Reuters which for a whole day went with the headline NUCLEAR REACTOR EXPLODES, 2000 BODIES RECOVERED. Which was actually 2 different stories.

(Don’t even talk to me about SKY & FOX)

Currently my girlfriend had to travel to her college (she’s doing a phd here) but I know where she is at any time within a few meters using GOOGLE LATITUDE on our phone. I also use skype to check my apartment after an aftershock (when I am out an about).
Can’t sing the praises of that little light on the iphone 4 enough either.
It needs to be said that most of the above would have been possible if we had lot all power. I can power my iphone with aa batteries and I can charge those batteries (I have a lot) fully in 15 minutes with my Uniross power charger.
Read the list above again. But as yourself, 5 years ago. (I think charging batteries is all I could have done).
Thanks Phil, This is a personal list. But my mind is blown, by the videos, information and pictures on the web.
JAB (Tokyo)
PS: Tokyo is running on about 30% electricity draw at the moment, unnecessary lights and ac are off, it’s a site to see I can tell you.
Thanks to Google: For apps, info and their emergency page.
Thanks to Skype: for skype and making all services free for Japan.
Thanks to Docomo, Softbank, and the others for the same.
Thanks to Facebook: For all the rest!
And thanks to Apple, for putting it all in my POCKET.

 

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FastForward Radio this Week

All About the Future

Image via Wikipedia

Three big chances to catch FFR this week.  

Monday: FFR#15 Tobias Buckell on Creating the Future

Phil and Stephen  welcome popular author Tobias Buckell back to FastForward Radio, discussing the common ground between futurists and science fiction writers.

7 PM Pacific / 10 PM Eastern

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Wednesday: The Future We Make

Phil and Stephen discuss futurism as advocacy. What happens when we stop trying just to predict the future and start trying to make it happen?.

(Live show.)

7 PM Pacific / 10 PM Eastern

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Saturday: WT 1.5 Risks, Dystopia, and the Singularity

Phil continues to explore the major transformations occurring in our world — this week focusing on how things might go wrong, and how wrong they might go.

8 PM Pacific / 11 PM Eastern

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FastForward Radio — the Future of Facebook

Futurists Alvis Brigis and Vanessa Miemis join Phil and Stephen to discuss the Future of Facebook. Is Facebook destined to be the next Google or the next AOL?

PLUS — Alvis provides some details about Open Foresight

 

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About our guests

Alvis Brigis is writer, video producer and social mediaThumbnail image for Alvis_Smiley_Profile_Pic.jpg entrepreneur focused on the human side of accelerating change.  He’s worked extensively in reality and documentary television, co-founded future portal MemeBox.com and serves on the board of the Acceleration Studies Foundation.  Alvis blogs about the presnet day “human creativity explosion”, which he sees as an autocatalytic component of broader acceleration, and near-term social change at socialnode.com.  He’s currently based in balmy Mountain View, CA as well as snowy Elka Park, NY. 

Thumbnail image for VanessaMeimis.jpgVenessa Miemis is a futurist and digital ethnographer, researching what is happening at the intersection of technology, communication, and culture and how we’re impacted as a society, and what that means for the future. She has recently completed a Masters in Media Studies at the New School in NYC.

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An Army of Big Brothers?

Hungarian_Telephone_Factory_1937_Budapest.jpgI took my first ever trip to Russia in 1993, working for telecom giant U S WEST (now QWEST) on rolling out a series of join-venture telecom startups. Our partners in these new venture companies were a combination of European equipment providers and local newly privatized Russian service providers. I got to spend quite a bit of time in local offices of these Russian telecom companies, which had until recently been branch offices of the Soviet national telecom service provider. (This was the early days of post-Soviet Russia.)

One of our regional managers, who was attempting to bring digital wireless service online in the city of Nizhni Novgorod, told me about an interesting experience he had in one such office. 

One day he mistakenly went through the wrong door and stumbled upon a room full of guys in suits wearing headphones; there were banks of reel-to-reel tape recorders covering the walls. My friend was quickly ushered out, of course. When he asked what he had just seen, there was a good deal of throat-clearing and foot-shuffling until one of the senior Russian guys apparently remembered the official answer. 
“They’re checking for line noise,” he explained. 
 Well, sure they were.

As I often point out, one of the hallmarks of rapidly advancing technologies is how capabilities that once required massive infrastructure such as would only be available to a large corporation or government agency a few years ago are rapidly passing into the hands of individuals. This is cool when it means that regular people can now produce music or movies that would have once required a large record company or film studio to produce. But it also means that regular people can much more easily engage in activities like “checking for line noise.”

With that caveat in mind, I’m still very excited to read the following over at Workplace Learning Today:

 

How to Record Phone Calls Online

Here’s an application I’ll likely try this week. Recordable is a free online service that allows you to record phone calls. It’s simple to use:

  • Dial a specific phone number
  • Follow the prompts and dial the phone number of the person you’re trying to reach
  • Receive a session code you can use to retrieve the recording

Makeuseof points us to a similar application called Supertintin as well astools to record Skype calls.

Speaking as a podcaster, I am delighted to see that the clumsy workarounds we had to use to make a decent recording of a phone call even three or four years ago are no longer necessary. But speaking as an advocate of organizational (and other varieties of) transparency who has recently been issuing warnings about the nasty habit information has of not going away, I want to point out that such advances require caution. 

Transparency requires that people know when they’re being recorded, ideally that they are specifically asked whether it’s okay before the recording begins. One would think that a service such as Recordable would build notification of recording right into their servic
A typical home reel to reel tape recorder, thi...

Image via Wikipedia

e, but that doesn’t appear to be the case from glancing at their website. They do have an entry in their FAQ about the legality of recording phone calls (helpfully pointing out that it varies from state to state) but they have nothing to say about ethics, which is arguably not their problem.
 
Putting the ability to record calls into the hands of consumer can help level the playing field. For example, I love the idea of recording customer service calls. So often you’re on one of those calls and you hear a message that the call “may be recorded” either for “training purposes” or “to ensure the highest levels of service quality.” It would be fun to turn the tables and tell the customer service rep who finally comes on that you will be recording today’s call to ensure that your complaint and follow up questions measure up to your normal high standards. More importantly, it would give you an record of what transpired on the call. 
 A little closer to our home topics, recording telephone job interviews would be a good way of making sure your notes are accurate. It would also make it possible for other interested parties to access the interview after the fact.

Obviously, applicants would need to be notified that this is being done. I wonder how that knowledge would impact the applicant’s behavior? 

Cross-posted from Transparency Revolution. Join the discussion there.
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Friday Video: When Persistence is a Good Thing

Yesterday Phil gave us an example of an incident where persistence of information wasn’t working out so well for one person: a former porn star lost a teaching job – for the second time – because of her x-rated past.  Increasingly, we live in a world of single chances.
In the future we will video everything.  There will be some word for this – maybe we’ll call this llogging, short for “life logging.”  We’ll do this so that we can data mine our lives.  At TED, Deb Roy had a demonstration of how powerful this can be.

I guess I’ve become a soft old dad.  The closing moment where the child walked choked me up a little.  Today we lose these incredible moments.  On Wednesday’s FastForward Radio we spoke about the power of our technology to make us more human.  I see life logging as an important part of this process.  We will stop losing ourselves bit by bit to fading memory.  
Today we all constantly rewrite our own memories making ourselves more noble, heroic, or – when our lives have really taken a wrong turn – unfairly misunderstood.  Having a life log won’t always be pleasant.  We won’t be able to fool ourselves anymore.  But the ability to replay events, and see objectively how something really happened, will help us become better people.  We can learn to live closer to our own ideals.

Persistence

One of the greatest achievements in human history, perhaps the greatest, is the development of tools to make information persistent. Imagine the world before the invention of writing: knowledge could only be stored in living human brains. It took years and years to build up a viable collection of information in any one mind, and it could all be lost in a moment. Every useful fact had to be passed from one living person to another in an unbroken chain. Anything that was overlooked, misunderstood, or forgotten was lost. It was as though that information had never been known, meaning that it had to be discovered all over again.

With writing, information became persistent. Any knowledge that was written down could outlive its source. Moreover, the amount of information available was no longer limited to what could be memorized and recited by those dedicated to doing so. The result was an explosion of knowledge which gave rise to literature, philosophy, science, and technology. That explosion led directly, and in fairly short order, to the world we live in today.

Centuries of persistent information lie behind my writing (and your reading) this blog post.

While few (if any) of us would want to live in a world where information doesn’t persist, most of us wish that some information was a bit less persistent. From today’s headlines:

Tera Myers, ex-porn star, loses teaching gig in St. Louis, after student discovers her X-rated past

A St. Louis high school student is getting an “A” from authorities after discovering a teacher’s X-rated past.

Tera Myers, 38, was put on administrative leave at Parkway North High School this week after a student inquired about pornographic films Myers starred in during the 1990s.

Officials didn’t know about Myers’ past, which included a suspension five years ago from a Paducah, Ky., school for her role in the adult films.

While in Kentucky, Myers taught under a different name, Tericka Dye.

“Anybody who has been in my classroom could tell you how much I love teaching and how much I love these students, and that should be what matters more than anything in my past,” she said in May 2006.

Time was, anyone who needed to make a fresh start in life could simply find a new town to live in and, if needed, a new name to go by. Your past was truly the past, and a lot less inclined to follow you around than it is today. But now the eraser is gone. Information persists not because we make it to persist, or even because we want it to, but simply because the information infrastructure we have created is so incredibly good at doing what we designed it to do.

Internet users misunderstand this principle at their own peril. By now we’ve all heard that the Internet is forever and that you shouldn’t write anything in the comments section of the most obscure blog (or even in most email messages) that you wouldn’t happily publish on a billboard next to a huge photo of yourself. But people continue not to heed this advice, and the damage done to friendships, marriages, families, institutions, organizations, and individual careers is incalculable.

Efforts to mitigate this damage generally concentrate around the concept of privacy. It’s reasonable to suggest that there be some kind of firewall between private and public information. For example, if the Internet didn’t support fairly reliable security where individual financial information is concerned, e-commerce couldn’t exist.

What it’s unreasonable to expect is that any information that ever passes outside that firewall could somehow become “private” once again. A news story from November of last year:

E.U. Says It Will Overhaul Privacy Regulations

The commission said consumers should be informed “in a clear and transparent way” about how their data will be used. They should also have the right to fully delete digital information, like social networking profiles, and should be informed when their data has been used in unlawful ways, the commission added.

That sounds great. Unfortunately, if that profile information was shared with anyone, at any time, then there’s no way ever to be certain that it has been “fully deleted.” The EU might as well pass regulations on the un-ringing of bells. If one user — one of your “friends” — takes a screen shot of that profile and saves it, it can resurface decades from now.

Or tomorrow.

The age of transparency is ultimately an age where we learn to balance trust and responsibility. It is an age requiring great deliberation concerning how we communicate. Individuals need to be more aware of what information they are sharing, who they are sharing it with, and why. Organizations need to be more aware of what information they are blocking (or attempting to block), who they are trying to keep from accessing it, and why.

Mistakes made either way may not be correctable. And they will be with us for a long time to come.

FastForward Radio — Transcendent Man

Phil  and Stephen discuss the new documentary about Ray Kurzweil — Transcendent Man — with filmmaker Barry Ptolemy. Our good friends PJ Manney and Natasha Vita-More also join the discussion.

 

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 About Our Guest

At age 12, Barry Ptolemy was first inspired to create films by Steven Spielberg on the set of E.T., The Extra Terrestrial, where he worked and studied closely alongside the director for the duration of the production. After attending USC film school, Barry went on to direct and produce dozens of award-winning commercials and films. In 2006, his interest in the sciences led him to read Ray Kurzweil’s The Singularity is Near, upon which his first feature, Transcendent Man, is based. He also recently directed the commercial “We Are The World 25 For Haiti” with Lionel Richie and Quincy Jones, which aired during the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympic Opening Ceremonies. Barry was recently hailed as one of the new “power directors” by Los Angeles Confidential Magazine.
 

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My Top 5 iPhone Apps

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Timothy Ferriss (@tferriss), author of “The 4-Hour Work Week” and “The 4-Hour Body” recently Tweeted: 

Just bought the iPhone to learn the ropes. What are your top 5 must-have apps? #5apps

Good question. I’m an app pack-rat. I’ve got apps strictly for work – Dropbox and Fastcase. I use Recorder Pro when I want to compose orally or commit something to memory. I use the HeyTell walkie-talkie-like app rather than texting when I’m driving.

I have many music apps – Shazam, and of course iTunes – and listen to radio stations (both local and way out of range) on WunderRadio.  I still listen to our FastForward Radio podcast on the pseudo-app I came up with awhile back.

I use several eBook readers including eReader, iBooks, and PDFReader.
Fandango, Redbox, DirecTV, and Netflix help me keep up with TV and Film.
I shop via the Amazon, Soap.com, CraigsPro+, and eBay apps.
More than once I’ve used my phone when helping out with the Boy Scouts: Accuterra Unlimited (for trail maps), What Knot to do (for knot tying), Compass, and Flashlight.

And the games go on and on: ArcadeBowl, GalagaRemix, Glyder, Osmos (via Tobias Buckell’s recommendation), Wolfenstein 3D, Cut the Rope, Rollercoaster, Scrabble, Geared, Bubble Ball (an addictive game written by a kid), Pinball HD, Risk, The Simpsons Arcade Game, Tiger Woods Golf, Angry Birds, Sudoku, Tetris, Mrs. PacMan, Flight Control, Crash Kart, Mirror’s Edge, and Tiny Wings is a new favorite.

I have several diet and exercise apps: iFitness, Carb Diet, the South Beach Diet, and Tim Ferriss’ own “4 Hour App.”

I keep up with the news via the Drudge Report’s app and, of course, the Safari browser.

But if I had to give all that up for settle for just five? First, I’ll eliminate those apps that come preloaded on the phone. Safari is THE killer app, but I’m not counting it or iTunes/iPod or the built-in Text Message app. I’m also not thinking about the camera (which I use daily).

Here, in no particular order, are my top five:

  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Pandora
  • The Weather Channel
  • Kindle

The remarkable thing – all five of these were free.

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Has fossil evidence of extraterrestrial life been found in meteorites?

UPDATE: Skeptics are beginning to come forward… heavily against the likelihood of this being true.


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Its an extraordinary claim. So, Dr. Richard B. Hoover – the NASA scientist who is publishing this work – took the extraordinary step of inviting peer review and criticism BEFORE publication.
“Given the controversial nature of his discovery, we have invited 100 experts and have issued a general invitation to over 5,000 scientists from the scientific community to review the paper and to offer their critical analysis,” Schild wrote in an editor’s note along with the article. “No other paper in the history of science has undergone such a thorough vetting, and never before in the history of science has the scientific community been given the opportunity to critically analyze an important research paper before it is published, he wrote.”

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/03/05/exclusive-nasa-scientists-claims-evidence-alien-life-meteorite/#ixzz1Fk3cC1l5



Hey I Know That Guy!

You hear a lot about how the “average person” does this or thinks that, of things that will or won’t appeal to the average person — but does such an entity really exist? Is there really an average person? National Geographic says yes. They have crunched the numbers and come up with an answer. Check out the video.

 

So I have some of the characteristics of the average person. I’m male. I have a cell phone. And, although it isn’t specifically mentioned, I think my fondness for Chinese food is one that I share with the typical resident of this planet. But I’m pretty different, too. I’m older, I’m of a different ethnicity, and I have a bank account. 

 Upon first viewing this video, I was feeling kind of bad for 28-year-old-Han-Chinese men. I mean, we all like talking about the average person, but how much fun is it being the average person? But it occurred to me that having the set of characteristics shared by the most people on Earth doesn’t really diminish individuality. Among that cohort you will find astounding diversity of opinions, attitudes, approaches to life, not to mention things like height, weight, facial characteristics — that composite picture is just a composite, after all. 
 It raises an interesting set of questions about being typical vs. being distinct. I’ve been linking my talent profile a lot lately (I can’t help myself; I think it’s really cool) which is one way of displaying my distinctness. On the other hand, above I was quick to point out the ways in which I’m typical. 
Interesting…
Cross-posted to Transparency Revolution.