Daily Archives: November 29, 2004

They're called Fab Labs…

…not that there’s anything wrong with that.

Wired magazine has published in its December issue a lengthy story on fabrication laboratories, or “fab labs.” (Hat tip to KurzweilAI)

A fab lab is a miniature factory for the digital age. The latest version consists of three Linux PCs, a laser cutter, a combination 3-D scanner and drill, a numerically controlled X-Acto knife, and a handful of RISC chips. Set it up, turn it on, and you can crank out not only solid objects like eyeglass frames and action figures but, thanks to Gershenfeld’s research, electronic devices like radios and computers, too.

Go and read the whole thing, but come back and read my post on fabricators originally published March 31 of this year:

Non Nano News

One of the “Drexlerian fantasies” that we who dwell in our parent’s basements hold dear is the “nanofactory.”

The nanofactory is imagined as an appliance, maybe as small as a Mr. Coffee, maybe as big as a refrigerator, that manufactures whatever is desired from individual molecules up. This has been called the ultimate technology. With the development of the nanofactory the only cost of material possessions would be the energy it takes to manufacture them and the information to build it (the cost of raw matter would be negligible). Presumably you would shop online, buy a design, download it, and then have your home factory make it for you. The energy cost would be reflected on your electric bill.

There are new developments constantly in the nanotech industry (here’s a good source for staying current). But even we optimists understand that we are presently a long way from developing self-replicating nanoassemblers – the basic component of a nanofactory.

Personally I see no reason why automatic home factories need wait for the development of exotic nanotech.

Imagine a computer driven factory that uses raw materials (shredded plastic, wood pulp, various metals, silicon) to assemble whatever product you require using downloaded designs. The cost of the raw materials would be small. In fact, much of our trash could be recycled for these materials. The value of material possessions would be reduced to the cost of the raw materials, electricity, and the information to assemble it. In fact, you would have nearly all of the benefits of a nanofactory and few of the dangers. There would be no possibility of gray goo or homemade plagues with such a factory.

Contour-Crafting-House.jpeg

The technology I’m talking about is not decades away. Commercial forms of this technology are being tested now. On the large scale Engineer Behrokh Khoshnevis is perfecting his “Contour Crafting” process that will automatically construct an entire home directly from a computer plan.

Degussa AG, one of the world’s largest manufacturers and suppliers of construction materials, will collaborate in the development of a USC computer-controlled system designed to automatically “print out” full-size houses in hours…

Khoshnevis believes his system will be able to construct a full-size, 2,000- square-foot house with utilities embedded in 24 hours. He now has a working machine that can build full-scale walls and is hoping to actually construct his first house in early 2005.

Contour Crafting uses crane- or gantry-mounted nozzles, from which building material – concrete, in the prototype now operating in his laboratory – comes out at a constant rate.

Moveable trowels surrounding the nozzle mold the concrete into the desired shape, as the nozzle moves over the work…

Khoshnevis is now perfecting a system to mix such materials continuously in industrial quantities right at the Contour Crafting nozzle, “the way a spider makes silk to build a web.”

-Via Futurepundit.

NewScientist has more:

Khoshnevis’s prototype robot hangs from a movable overhead gantry, like the cranes at ship container depots. Khoshnevis speculates that they could also be ground-based, running along rails and able to build several houses at one time. But it would be more difficult to create autonomous wheeled robots that have sufficient accuracy and precision.

The first house will be built in 2005. If the technology is successful the robot could enable new designs that cannot be built using conventional methods, for example involving complex curving walls.

On the small scale, engineers at the University of California in Berkeley are developing technology to “print” in one process an entire electronic application – external plastic case and moving parts included.

The trick is to print layer upon layer of conducting and semiconducting polymers in such a way that the circuitry the device requires is built up as part of the bodywork.

When the technique is perfected, devices such as light bulbs, radios, remote controls, mobile phones and toys will be spat out as individual fully functional systems without expensive and labour-intensive production on an assembly line.

Three-dimensional printers are already valuable tools for making prototypes of newly designed products. They deposit layers made from droplets of smart polymers, which gradually build up into 3D shapes. Such printing techniques have become so sophisticated it is now possible to print working prototypes with mechanical parts that move as they would in the final product.

But Berkeley’s crucial addition to this art is to allow the electronics to be included in the printed device, rather than being added at great cost later on.

The first automatic factory in the home will probably be simple – it could assemble all-plastic goods. This would be sufficient for many toys and kitchen utensils. Similar devices have been in use commercially for some time now.

Three-dimensional printers are already valuable tools for making prototypes of newly designed products. They deposit layers made from droplets of smart polymers, which gradually build up into 3D shapes. Such printing techniques have become so sophisticated it is now possible to print working prototypes with mechanical parts that move as they would in the final product.

Automatic assemblers that could use different materials would follow. Assemblers for electronics would come later.

This development will bring vast new wealth to consumers and will present the patent holders for commodity goods with the same peer-to-peer challenges that the RIAA has faced.

Posted by Stephen Gordon at March 31, 2004 10:38 PM


Comments to the original post:

I could see this type of thing developing on a neighborhood basis first, much like a Kinkos. You’d choose a design off the internet, perhaps customize it, then direct it to your neighborhood fab center, where you could pick it up at your leisure. Eventually the technology would evolve to the point where in-house fab would be the norm.

Posted by: David Young at April 1, 2004 11:17 AM


David:

I agree that this technology will be developed for commercial uses first. Only later as prices come down would I expect to see this in homes.

A Kinko’s fabricator would be used for entirely different purposes than a home fabricator. For example, if I need a tooth bush and a toilet plunger I’m not going to wait at Kinkos while they fabricate these items. I’d go next door to the Dollar General (who would probably be fabricating them regionally instead of importing).

I might use a home fabricator for such items. I could download a design for these two items, load it into my fabricator and let it go to work.

A Kinkos fabricator would be used for specialty projects – perhaps to make a model to be used in a business presentation. It would not be used for commodity items.

Posted by: Stephen Gordon at April 1, 2004 12:47 PM


As soon as you can use a fabricator to build another fabricator, things will start getting really interesting.

Posted by: Ken at April 2, 2004 01:13 PM

From 0 to III in Less Than 100,000 Years

death-opener.jpg
The December 2004 issue of Discover Magazine has an intriguing article: ”How to Survive the End of the Universe (In 7 Steps)”. Although the 7 Steps to Leaving the Cosmos were amazing, it was this paragraph that kept me ruminating after I finished reading the article:

A Type I civilization is planetary: it is able to exploit all the energy falling on its planet from the sun (1016 watts). This civilization could derive limitless hydrogen from its oceans, perhaps harness the power of volcanoes, and maybe even control the weather. A Type II civilization could control the energy output of the sun itself: (1028 watts), or 10 billion times the power of a Type I civilization. Deriving energy from solar flares and antimatter, Type IIs would be effectively immune from ice ages, meteors, even supernovas. A Type III civilization would be 10 billion times more powerful still, capable of controlling and consuming the energy of an entire galaxy (1036 watts). Type IIIs would derive energy by extracting it from billions of stars and black holes. A Type III civilization would be able to manipulate the Plank energy (1019 billion electron volts), the energy at which space-time becomes foamy and unstable, frothing with tiny wormholes and bubble-sized universes. The aliens in Independence Day would qualify as a Type III civilization.

By contrast, ours would qualify as a Type 0 civilization, deriving its energy from dead plants—oil and coal.

What would it take for us to evolve from 0 to III? The article proposes this: growing at 1 or 2 percent per year, we could become Type I in a hundred years, Type II in a few thousand years, and Type III in a hundred thousand to a million years.

The Speculists disagree on at least two counts. Stephen Gordon points out that the aliens Independence Day were interested in strip-mining the Earth for its resources – a Type I interest. Had they even been a type II civilization they might have started building a Dyson Sphere around our Sun – a disconcerting thought.

And Phil suggests that the time frame posed for us to become a Type II civilization—an incremental arithmetic progression—doesn’t take into account the exponential changes we’re experiencing as we approach the Singularity.

Even Future Hi, who understands the Singularity, seems to have missed class on the day they taught exponents:

Once we’ve passed the singularity point (Type I), then the rapid rise in intelligence combined with advanced molecular nanotechnology, would be all that is necessary to engage in Stellar lifting or Dyson sphere construction.

.. “the time frame from a type 1 to a type II is small enough that from a cosmic perspective it’s a blink in the eye. The time to go from a type II to a type III isn’t much longer, perhaps 500,000 years, assuming light speed remains a barrier.

As we rapidly enter this ever-decreasing bottleneck, we should soon find out if we’re going to make it to Type I. Utopia or Oblivion, there is no third way. If we can figure out how to survive the coming technological singularity, then all the problems that have plagued our planet up to this point will have been solved. Idealistic dogma, hatred, greed, poverty, war, selfishness will have all been solved, otherwise how would we make it? Once we passed this level I bottleneck, then it will be relatively smooth sailing from there… onward to Type II and III, or at least that’s the assumption.”

Which begs the issue—can the Singularity come at all if we’re still mired in our Type I issues? Might we abort it or turn it into a catastrophe?

We can’t depend on exponential advances in technology to solve our problems. Do we need to approach a spiritual Singularity before the technological one can arrive? Or is it a holistic event, for which it is impossible to separate the physical, technological and spiritual dimensions?

From 0 to III in Less Than 100,000 Years

death-opener.jpg
The December 2004 issue of Discover Magazine has an intriguing article: ”How to Survive the End of the Universe (In 7 Steps)”. Although the 7 Steps to Leaving the Cosmos were amazing, it was this paragraph that kept me ruminating after I finished reading the article:

A Type I civilization is planetary: it is able to exploit all the energy falling on its planet from the sun (1016 watts). This civilization could derive limitless hydrogen from its oceans, perhaps harness the power of volcanoes, and maybe even control the weather. A Type II civilization could control the energy output of the sun itself: (1028 watts), or 10 billion times the power of a Type I civilization. Deriving energy from solar flares and antimatter, Type IIs would be effectively immune from ice ages, meteors, even supernovas. A Type III civilization would be 10 billion times more powerful still, capable of controlling and consuming the energy of an entire galaxy (1036 watts). Type IIIs would derive energy by extracting it from billions of stars and black holes. A Type III civilization would be able to manipulate the Plank energy (1019 billion electron volts), the energy at which space-time becomes foamy and unstable, frothing with tiny wormholes and bubble-sized universes. The aliens in Independence Day would qualify as a Type III civilization.

By contrast, ours would qualify as a Type 0 civilization, deriving its energy from dead plants—oil and coal.

What would it take for us to evolve from 0 to III? The article proposes this: growing at 1 or 2 percent per year, we could become Type I in a hundred years, Type II in a few thousand years, and Type III in a hundred thousand to a million years.

The Speculists disagree on at least two counts Stephen Gordon points out that the aliens Independence Day were interested in was strip-mining the Earth for its resources – a Type I interest. Had they even been a type II civilization they might have started building a Dyson Sphere around our Sun – a disconcerting thought.

And Phil suggests that the time frame posed for us to become a Type II civilization—an incremental arithmetic progression—doesn’t take into account the exponential changes we’re experiencing as we approach the Singularity.

Even Future Hi, who understands the Singularity, seems to have missed class on the day they taught exponents:

Once we’ve passed the singularity point (Type I), then the rapid rise in intelligence combined with advanced molecular nanotechnology, would be all that is necessary to engage in Stellar lifting or Dyson sphere construction.

.. “the time frame from a type 1 to a type II is small enough that from a cosmic perspective it’s a blink in the eye. The time to go from a type II to a type III isn’t much longer, perhaps 500,000 years, assuming light speed remains a barrier.

As we rapidly enter this ever-decreasing bottleneck, we should soon find out if we’re going to make it to Type I. Utopia or Oblivion, there is no third way. If we can figure out how to survive the coming technological singularity, then all the problems that have plagued our planet up to this point will have been solved. Idealistic dogma, hatred, greed, poverty, war, selfishness will have all been solved, otherwise how would we make it? Once we passed this level I bottleneck, then it will be relatively smooth sailing from there… onward to Type II and III, or at least that’s the assumption.”

Which begs the issue—can the Singularity come at all if we’re still mired in our Type I issues? Might we abort it or turn it into a catastrophe?

We can’t depend on exponential advances in technology to solve our problems. Do we need to approach a spiritual Singularity before the technological one can arrive? Or is it a holistic event, for which it is impossible to separate the physical, technological and spiritual dimensions?