But, hey, it might be worth a shot.
First, let me say that I have nothing but admiration for those who have adopted a restricted calorie diet in the hopes of realizing some of the health and life extension benefits that have been demonstrated repeatedly in the lab with animals (mostly mice) following similar diets. The only reason I haven’t personally tried to adopt the CR lifestyle is fear of failure.
I think I could manage it for six months, maybe a year at most, and then I expect would fall seriously off the wagon. Even following a much more modest program over the course of a couple of years, my weight has been gradually creeping back up — probably through a combination of metabolic changes and not sticking with the program as carefully as I might have.
A few months ago, I wrote about an emerging critique of diet and exercise as a cure for obesity:
In study after study over the course of the past century, the number of clinical trial subjects who have kept more than 40 pounds off for a period of five or more years is vanishingly rare. The number that’s thrown around on Dean’s World is 0.1%, although I haven’t seen where Dean specifically raised this number, only where people arguing with him have. So if we can name people who have met the criteria — Jared comes to mind — we have only found an example of that 0.1% of the population for whom diet and exercise is an effective long-term obesity cure. Likewise, the participants in the National Weight Control Registry (NWCR) study were asked to participate if they had already achieved a certain level of long-term weight loss — it’s just another example of this same selection bias.
It’s like “proving” that the lottery is a smart bet because somebody won!
So diet and exercise become a real double-bind for the obese. Typically, it doesn’t work out; but it’s the only “cure” out there, so people try again and again, and you get the dreaded yo-yo effect. People who want to argue that diet and exercise are an ineffective cure only because fat people are lazy or undisciplined or lack self-esteem aren’t really contributing much to the discussion, other than venting. Show me an effective way to combine diet and exercise with acquiring discipline or self-esteem — and by effective, I mean one that has been demonstrated to work with a significant population of obese people, not more anecdotes about Jared or your aunt — or shut up.
And if the normal, moderate diet-and-exercise cure proves too difficult for most people, how much progress can we expect from the much more ambitious calorie restriction lifestyle?