That Flying Car Problem

By | April 19, 2005

One of the regular features at The Speculist during its inauguration was Phil’s “Seven Questions” interview. Phil’s last question was always “Why is it that in the year 2003 I still don’t have a flying car? When do you think I’ll be able to get one?”

Phil was asking the question metaphorically (when I answered I wrote about how large scale tech has been trailing small tech for the last thirty years). But really. It’s 2005 and we still don’t have flying cars. What gives? When Phil asked Aubrey de Grey, he got a more direct answer:

You don’t have [a flying car] because it’s very hard to build something that fits the bill — fast, safe, affordable. “Safe” is probably the hardest.

Of course, when I think of a “flying car” I imagine something like this:

flying-car-new.jpg

But it doesn’t look like we’re going to get a gravity-defying roadster anytime soon. For now, this flying car will remain a “past-futures” fantasy. But why can’t we have an intermediate vehicle – a “fast, safe, and affordable” aircraft; an everyday, everyman aircraft?

Safety is a big part of this problem. A “safe” aircraft is “idiot-proof.” Most adults of average intelligence can be taught to be reasonably safe behind the wheel of a car. The flying car has to be comparably safe or it will never be adopted.

In order to be safe today, a pilot must be smart, fly constantly, have an understanding of his aircraft, a respect for the weather, and be humble about his skill. Many pilots don’t measure up to this, let alone the average “Joe.”

The answer is a push-button aircraft. You command it to “take me to Hot Springs, Arkansas” and it would file a flight plan, communicate with air traffic control, take off, fly, and land at your destination without interference from the pilot. Obviously this would require a sophisticated computer and software.

Assuming that could be accomplished in the short run, there is another obstacle to the everyday, everyman aircraft. Present-day aircraft are often more trouble than they’re worth, especially for short trips. Even people who have spent $100,000 + for a private plane often find that they don’t use them enough to justify the expense. Every flight requires a trip to an out-of-the-way airport and arrangements for ground transportation at the destination. Airports are put in out of the way places because they take up so much land.

If airplanes were made simple enough so that more people flew, and the amount of land required for a runway were reduced, then there would be more airports, making it more likely that an airport would be at or near your desired destination. Heliports don’t take up significant space – a good flat roof fits the bill. But helicopters are difficult to operate, and, even if a fully automated helicopter were developed, it would still require constant, expensive maintenance.

And the helicopter still wouldn’t be as safe as a fixed wing aircraft. There is a certain altitude range for helicopters called the “dead man zone.” If you lose your engine in this zone then there is insufficient time for the formerly powered rotor to be switched to auto-rotate mode. You drop like a rock to the ground.

jason_bynum-cctd_1_reduced.jpg

Carter Aviation Technologies is developing a hybrid solution to these problems. Their “Cartercopter” allows vertical take off and landing, will fly as fast as a fixed wing aircraft (which is much faster than a helicopter), and will not be subject to the “dead man zone” problem. Why no “dead man zone?” Because as a gyroplane it is always in auto-rotate mode. If you lose power you just float down. Theoretically it would be safer than either a helicopter or an airplane in a power-off emergency landing.

There’s nothing new about gyroplanes. They’ve been around since 1923. But this form of aircraft has been neglected since the helicopter became practical. Carter Aviation saw an opportunity to innovate.

The Cartercopter’s first innovation is depleted uranium on the tips of the overhead rotor. Depleted uranium makes the tips of the rotor very heavy. While safely on the ground the overhead rotor is powered up by the engine. A gyroplane rotor is never powered in the air because it lacks a rear-stabilizing rotor like a helicopter. But once the Cartercopter’s rotor is spinning, the heavy tipped blade will maintain its spin and provide significant lift before the aircraft even begins its roll forward.

Second, the aircraft has wings like what you would expect on a fast moving jet. These wings are small and thin to hold down drag, but small wings provide limited lift. Without the rotor, the aircraft would stall at about 150 knots – the rotor makes up the difference.

At cruising altitude, the CarterCopter’s third innovation becomes available. Overhead rotor drag makes traditional gyroplanes very slow. The drag of the rotor is a cube function of the speed of the rotor. And the faster a traditional gyroplane flys, the faster the overhead rotor turns creating increasing drag. But the Cartercopter slows the rotor speed as airspeed increases. By slowing the overhead rotor from about 300 rpm to 100, the drag on the Cartercopter is significantly reduced which allows speeds comparable to fixed wing aircraft.

You might be wondering why they don’t just stop the rotor if drag would be reduced. Stopping the rotor would reduce drag, but it would be costly to engineer a stopped rotor, and the aircraft is safer with the rotor still spinning. This slowed rotation appears to be a smart compromise.

If a flying Delorean is out of the question, a fully automated Cartercopter would be a nice consolation prize.

UPDATE: Here’s a link to the video page at Discovery.com where you can see the program that inspired this post.

UPDATE II: And here’s a link to a 60 minutes print story on “flying cars” that also mentions the Cartercopter.

UPDATE III: In the comments Jim Strickland points out two additional problems with “flying cars” – noise pollution and petroleum depletion. To that I would add increased fossil fuel emissions.

Hydrogen fuel cells could address all of these problems. Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles run on electricity produced by hydrogen. It would be very quiet, would not deplete petroleum reserves, and would be clean for the environment.

Honda has done some impressive work in the last few years improving power output of fuel cell vehicles (see here and here). Whether fuel cells have been developed to the point that they could power an aircraft is another question. Probably not…yet.

  • Jim Strickland

    There are a couple other problems with flying cars.

    First, most drivers behind the wheel of cars are barely competent to drive, if my experiences on the road are any measure. (Yes, I’m quite sure other drivers say the same about me, in all fairness.) They are bad enough on established roads, which are carefully delineated areas in which you can expect them. Would you really want this collection of people who can’t signal for turns, back up on freeway onramps, talk on their cellphones instead of paying attention to the road, and so on flying over your house, or perhaps near that airliner you’re flying in? I don’t.

    Second and more crippling is the problem of energy. The world of automobiles is just barely dabbling in power systems other than internal combustion of fossil fuels. Aerodynamic flight as we know it today is exclusively the domain of internal combustion engines, and the demands of flight are quite energy intensive. Flying cars would be a huge step backwards in energy consumption and pollution.

    Finally, while one can certainly argue there is far more sky than road, it bears remembering that some of the major air travel corridors are quite crowded. Given that most flying car designs and all airplanes have to *move* to stay aloft, a traffic jam would be very, very bad.

    Sadly, I don’t think flying cars are practical. Flying taxies and limos perhaps, where the driver is a full time pro, surrounded by full time pros, but I doubt you’ll see flying cars without solving the energy problem and making the car artificially intelligent.

    (And then of course Microsoft will make the software, lending ‘crash’ a more literal meaning. ;)

  • http://Addendum Jim Strickland

    There are also environmental issues with flying cars. The most immediate is this. To fly, aerodynamic vehicles move a LOT of air around. If this motion happens to be at a frequency between seventy and seventy thousand hertz, this is called noise. Lots of noise.

  • https://www.blog.speculist.com Phil Bowermaster

    The objections to flying cars always come down to the two issues that Jim points out:

    Safety
    Noise

    I think the gyroplane is a great idea. Between it and the personal submarine we’re well on our way to the amazing gyrosub of Spy Smasher.

    But it’s still not a flying car. To get there, we’re going to need some kind of anti-gravity technology. That will take care of the noise and half the safety problem. Then all we need is some really good AI software to take care of the rest of the safety problem.

    So maybe I should be asking:

    “Why is it that in the year 2005 I still don’t have anti-gravity technology and really good artificial intelligence?”

    But somehow that isn’t as catchy.

  • http://beyondwords.typepad.com/beyond_words/ Kathy

    You’ve all covered the safety issue quite thoroughly but I can’t resist adding this: When you consider how clueless most drivers are about their “coordinates” on one (geometric) plane, it would be insane to expect them to pay attention to spatial orientation in all planes.

    Anti-gravity technology would be nice. But transporter technology would be better. Sigh…

  • https://www.blog.speculist.com Stephen Gordon

    Kathy:

    Fortunately people won’t have to think three dimensionally.

    From the 60 minutes link:

    “The folks at NASA have built something called “The Highway in the Sky.” It’s a computer system designed to let millions of people fly whenever they please, and take off and land from wherever they please, in their very own vehicles…

    Bruce Holmes is one of NASA’s chief strategists and has served in the White House, where he worked on the future of aviation. He showed Simon a flight simulator, a new computer system that can be put into any new airborne vehicle. He says it will make flying easy, and will manage all the new traffic up there.

    It’s called “The Highway in the Sky,” and here’s how it works: In a NASA animation, pilots focus on one main screen. It’s very much like a videogame. Keep the plane inside the box, away from other vehicles, and the plane’s computers automatically guide them towards their destination. They can even follow the highway down to the ground. ”

    Check out this picture:

    http://wwwimage.cbsnews.com/images/2005/04/15/image688552x.jpg

    There was some allusion to this sort of thing in Back to the Future 2 (floating roadsigns and exit markers). A virtual road overlayed over the sky is just a tad more realistic. :-)

    The pushbutton aircraft would be easier than even this. Just pick your destination and you’re on your way.

    “transporter technology would be better.”

    We have a small problem with the amount of data involved – not to mention compensating Heisenberg. :-)

    http://www.memory-alpha.org/en/index.php/Heisenberg_compensator

  • mr T square

    Flying cars, people and packages too all would be nice when fail safe controlled, but we need to get beyond the combustion age for moving fluids in trasnportation in order to do it.

  • gf
  • http://wow hali

    a couple mounths ago o say a add on flying cars. im exsited its cool your a genues!

    sensearly, hali

  • http://vacancesforum.blogspot.com/ Serafim Barbosa

    a flying car is ment to work with hemp oil,a flying car is to have based-porshe design,a flying car is ment to use rubber for protection insted of metals,a flying car is ment to use low power electronics,a flying car is ment to use all kinds of wifi,satelite and gps location,…in resume,a flying car ment to work slow on electronics and slow on the oil and rpm,trust me if you investigate it.

  • shadeM

    i know how 2 made a flying car….
    its just a time question..
    im am serius.

  • ronald

    hey i was thing why not build an alternative source of energy small but very powerful and long lasting like a reactor a mini reactor which fits in the palm of ur hand….. and than the next problem is it has to be a car so wheels how to pack tham up so the body becomes aerodynamic to move in air than the next question is where to put the wings for gliding and after all this it shld look like a car and when on ground work like a car… the sophistication of self service can be worked on later frst the car another aspect is vertical take off so how to fit the engine and wht will be the proportions of the body

  • EMMANUEL SOWOLE

    A flying car could be very possible if the weight is small,solves energy problem,solves gravity problem&easy to move.

  • Timbo

    Safety issue has been covered, although we must consider there is the higher risks WHEN there is a crash, not just to the pilot/driver…but also the surroundings. Even if unlikely, there would be a much higher chance of crashing into buildings…think if we had a crash into a school, hospital, power plant, busy neighborhood/city, etc. To the actual pilot/driver,what if they were to crash into a lake, or the ocean if they were crossing a bay, etc.

    Yes you can still crash into these places with a car, however it is much harder and more barriers are in your way to limit the harm you could do. Yes, you can crash into these places with an airplane..of course those are VERY highly inspected/tested for safety and flown by highly trained professionals. Could you imagine the rigourous (Sp?) testing/inspection process you would have to go through in order to routinely use these?

    Sure an AI system that uses planned routes that you cannot diverge from would certainly help this. And the safety/design technology is there in large planes, at some point they can probably scale it down.

    And of course, if there was any sort of manual control feature available (almost would have to be in case of tech failure), you would need to put in some sort of policing system in place. Radar, etc exist but what are the rules? Do you have a law enforcement agency that flies regular routes to police individual transports? Lot more to think about then just the underlying technology.

  • http://sbcglobal.net Carly

    flying cars are cool but also very dangerous.first of all, how many of these carsdo you think there would be flying in the air! plus, the air plane drivers will loose their jobs! if these cars are everywhere, they are just like cars on the ground, they crash, they need stop lights, roads to know wich way is which! think about all the crashes there will be. they dont just crash, thell probably fall too, and have a serious injury or may very well die. it is a very cool idea, but i suggest thinking a few things over before its too late. thank you!!!

  • http://www.strongware.com/dragon Rich Strong

    You are cordially invited to see my flying car project at http://www.strongware.com/dragon .

    Major Rich Sttrong (USAF,Retired)

  • Faith

    I think that the flying car will be awsome.Because sometime we’ll all have to move on sometime. So that’s my opinion if anyone has anything else to say about it and offend me I don’t CARE.

  • paul

    some of these views are significantly similar to written comments about the same time the “horseless carraige” came out.

    of course people who drive cars today dont know anything about driving in the air. but neither did any one who drove horses know anything about driving a “horseless carriage”.

    we should be careful not to be so parochial about new things…..but i guess that is human nature isnt it.

  • http://www.strongware.com/dragon Richard A. Strong

    You are cordially invited to see my StrongMobile Flying Car Project at http://www.strongware.com/dragon. You can view a 2-minute video of my full-size mockup model and consider the part about “Busting the Myths”.
    I would greatly appreciate any opinions or recommendations you may care to offer.

    Rich Strong (Major,USAF,Retired)