In order to better prepare ourselves for the major transformation to come, let’s review the major transformations of the past six million years.
Author Archives: Phil Bowermaster
Five Arguments Against Four Arguments Against Immortaility
Via Michael Anissimov, Annalee Newitz at i09 lays out the case against immortality. While she raises some interesting points, I find her arguments less than persuasive.
Let’s begin.
1. We will no longer be human.
…What if all those implants and genome hacks transform us into Locutus of Borg or the Daleks? What good is living forever if you are just a shell of your former self? If you have lost your individuality and become a killing machine?
Okay, first off the specific examples given here seem to more in support of the third argument (which we’ll get to in a moment) than they do a generalized fear of no longer being human. As Jamais Cascio argues (I think very convincingly) elsewhere on i09, we have always been posthuman. Humanity is a process. It has already taken us far from what we were when it started. Maybe some of Lucy’s contemporaries argued that if we continue down this road of walking upright and developing bigger brains, we’ll no longer be australopithecines. If so, well, I guess in a sense they were right. But fortunately, their arguments did not hold sway.
As to the points supporting this argument, I would like to abstract them just a bit. There is no question that technology may lead us in some gruesome and horrifying directions, but I don’t take either the Borg or Daleks scenarios terribly seriously. Let’s just say that life extension, continued modification of the human genome, and a merger of human biology with technology could lead to some very bad outcomes: some expected, some not.
Therefore, the argument goes, we should avoid these technologies.
Allow me to make a similar argument regarding a completely different set of circumstances where things can go horribly wrong. While the percentages are pretty small, every year a certain number of people are emotionally and/or physically abused, sometimes even murdered, by their spouses.
Therefore, we must conclude, no one should ever get married. In a similar vein, no one should ever ride a bicycle, seeing as people sometimes die in bicycle accidents. Also, we should never build power plants of any kind — terrorists might blow them up.
Obviously that’s absurd. For any proposed action, the possibility of bad things happening, even horrible things happening, has to be weighed against the benefits of acting and the cost of not acting. We have to look at how serious the risks are and how they might be mitigated. If the fact that something terrible might happen was reason enough not to do something, without a careful analysis of costs and benefits, we would never do anything.
2. Whatever body you’re in, there you are.
So you’ve ported your consciousness into a cyberheaven, or a giant blue alien with sexytime hair, or a deadly robot who wears a plunger on his head. The thing is, you still have the same problems.
Sounds good! I like being me. And I like being alive, problems and all.
What an awesome alternative outlook on life we are offered here. “I can put up with my loathsome existence for 70 years or so, but that’s it.” Frankly, anyone who thinks life is not worth extending because one will still be oneself and one will still have problems needs to explain what exactly the rationale is for not having committed suicide already.
3. Our augmented bodies and minds will be hackable.
As computer security nerds already know, every new release means a new vulnerability. Your awesome brain-computer interface may give you unlimited memory but it also means that an evil hacker can take over your consciousness by exploiting a buffer overflow in your brain.
Okay, terrible things might happen. (See item 1, second counter-argument.) This particular horrible thing is that we might get hacked. Everyone reading this post on a computer device, please stop reading and destroy that device right now. Don’t you realize that it’s potentially hackable?
If the fear is that it’s specifically people who are hackable, it seems that’s a risk we face socially and culturally (perhaps memetically?) anyway. How do things like this occur?
4. We’ll have to deal with the immortality divide.
In a future where people have access to live-extending biotech, wealth could mean living for centuries, growing more powerful. People born into poverty will have even fewer chances to compete against the rich, and the free market could stagnate. Democratic human societies might ossify into rigid, caste-based feudalism once again.
Isn’t this just the digital divide argument all over again? Technology is going to create a permanent barrier between the digital haves and have-nots. Only about 20% of people in the developing world (as of a few years ago) had access to the internet. On the other hand, nearly half had access to a mobile phone. Let’s just assume for a moment that those are fixed percentages (which is nonsense, see how the lines are trending up?) and that one or the other might be comparable to the distribution we are eventually able to achieve for life extension technologies.
If 50% of the developing world is denied life extension technologies, should we all be denied life extension technologies? Maybe we should give the people in the developing world a vote on this. If I were one of them, I think I’d rather take my chances on the coin flip than deny the technology to everyone. Even if 80% were denied these technologies, it’s not just the large percentage in the developed world who gets punished if we don’t adopt them. We just end up leaving 100% of the developing world out rather than 80%.
If the argument is that it’s not fair that people get left out, I agree. Life is shockingly unfair. If the argument is that those technologies should be available to everyone, I agree with that, too. It’s just a question of how we get there. There will probably be some imbalance along the way, just as there currently is with internet and mobile phone connections.
That’s not a reason to relinquish those technologies. It’s a reason to move ahead with them.
Newitz ends by saying that she really isn’t against moving ahead with life extension technologies, as long as we don’t do it in such a way as to impoverish other areas of life. Well heck — one could make the same argument about research into, say, heart disease. She concludes with an argument for “social” immortality, which I of course am all for. The she gives us this tidbit:
But this can only be accomplished if people today are willing to pursue forms of science that aren’t just aimed at augmenting the mega-elites, but will also lead to species longevity.
Darn that cabal of mega-elites! They’re so sneaky getting people like me to support their cause, all the while thinking that I’m working on eliminating poverty and illness for everyone. If only I realized that it’s a stark and unavoidable binary choice. Either I sacrifice my own existence for the greater good or I greedily benefit myself at the expense of others. Believing that new technologies can benefit us both individually and socially simply doesn’t fit well with the literary tropes about class warfare and scarcity — mostly drawn up in the 19th through mid-20th centuries, although still popular today — on which Newitz apparently bases her worldview.
How oddly unfuturistic for someone who “comes from the future!”
UPDATE: Michael Anissimov comments, “This appears to be an early form of co-processing, where content from an external device (in this case, poor television shows) heavily intertwines itself with the thinking processes of the writer, to the point where reality cannot be distinguished from fiction.”
FastForward Radio with Special Guest Alex Lightman
The H+ Summit is a two day event that explores how humanity will be radically changed by technology in the near future. Visionary speakers will explore the potential of technology to modify your body, mind, life, and world.
What will it mean to be a human in this next phase of technological development? How can we prepare now for coming changes?
We foresee the feasibility of redesigning the human condition and overcoming such constraints as the inevitability of aging, limitations on human and artificial intellects, unchosen psychology, lack of resources, and our confinement to the planet earth. The possibilities are broad and exciting. The H+ Summit will provide a venue to discuss these future scenarios and to hear exciting presentations by the leaders of the ongoing H+ (r)evolution.
A few seats are still available. Don’t delay. Sign up now.
Some background on the event here.
More here.
Robo-Pharmacists
Pretty much the sort of thing I’ve been talking about:
Dispensing medicine is about to get more efficient. New Jersey’s Holy Name Hospital is using robot pharmacists to package, store and dispense medications, while an automated system at an Ohio children’s hospital is preparing I.V. drugs for patients. Automation in medicine is reducing human error and cutting costs, and because these robots can handle pills in a fraction of the time it takes humans, we should be noticing a lot more of them around real soon.
Read the whole thing. Automation is the key to addressing the fundamental scarcity of health care that underlies the current (and probably most past and future) debates about whether providing health care should be a primarily public or private concern.
Monday Videos — Meta-memes and Capability
Two videos about memes (both of which I think we’ve linked before) to provide some food for thought to kick off the week.
Managing Scarcity
Our saga continues.
I finally got out of the hospital FIVE HOURS after the doctor said I was good to go. It didn’t matter that much, I suppose. I went from lying in a hospital bed with fluids being pumped into me to lying on the couch at home sipping Gatorade.
It could be argued that all sides of the health care debate agree that there is a scarcity of medical care. In fact, the whole health care debate may just hinge on the question of whether the government or the market represents the most efficient and humane principal source of distribution of care — although the more ideological proponents on either side would likely insist that their positions are simply right, and that efficiency and / or humanitarian concerns — while addressed better by their approach, anyway — are simply not the issue. But assuming that at least a some part of the debate has to do with how best to handle scarcity, I’m left with wondering what that five-hour wait implies.
The (Coming) Age of Medical Capability
Personal update: I’m hoping to check out of the hospital today. I’ve been in for the past two nights after the back and chest spasms that initially caused me to miss this week’s show turned into a whole melange of seemingly unrelated symptoms. The final diagnosis is severe gastroenteritis of unknown cause. A CT scan showed my appendix as borderline, but my doctor (and a couple of his buds he conferred with) agree that it’s not the culprit so it stays. Anyhow they’ve had me on an IV for two days and I’ve finally stopped vomiting — plus the pain is mostly gone — so I’m hoping to get out later today.
A couple of days in the hospital is a handy reminder that — although we have made huge steps forward in basic medical care in recent years — we still have a long way to go. One of my three wishes is for everyone on earth to be healthy. For that to truly happen, human illness needs to become a solved game. We have a long way to go before that’s the case.
Notes on the Age of Capability
As discussed on the podcast a couple of weeks ago human capability is exploding. There are two major components of this rapid growth.
Our best-case capability, meaning the cutting-edge achievements that occur on the margins. Human capability includes every Olympic record ever set. It includes massive accomplishments such as traveling to the moon and building the Great Wall of China.
The distribution of capability, wherein capability that once belonged only to extreme outliers and powerful institutions becomes the domain of an increasingly generalized population. Film making is a good example of how capability is distributed. Imagine the resources that would have been required, 65 years ago, to make and widely distribute a 10-minute documentary film with nice titles and a background musical score. Only large corporations (or the government) could accomplish such a thing. Today grade-schoolers can do it, and they do. As we’ll see, this second factor becomes more important over time, especially in our current era.
Let’s compare human capability in two domains over the past 20,000 years. The domains are power, which we will measure in terms of the maximum mass that can be moved and the maximum speed for travel, and communication, which we will measure in terms of the number of options available for encoding and transmitting messages.
Fast Forward Radio — Three Wishes
What would it take to fundamentally transform our world for the better? Phil and Stephen discuss the three wishes that might just get us there.
Plus — a sneak preview of our upcoming special series,
The World Transformed II: Faster, Please
Friday Videos — The Swiss Army Knife is Dead
Long live the Chinese Army shovel. You have to see this thing to believe it. Just keep watching.
I don’t which is cooler, that you can use it essentially to become Batman, or that you can use it to make dozens of julienne fries — just like that! When will we see the infomercial?