Two videos about memes (both of which I think we’ve linked before) to provide some food for thought to kick off the week.
Monthly Archives: May 2010
Managing Scarcity
Our saga continues.
I finally got out of the hospital FIVE HOURS after the doctor said I was good to go. It didn’t matter that much, I suppose. I went from lying in a hospital bed with fluids being pumped into me to lying on the couch at home sipping Gatorade.
It could be argued that all sides of the health care debate agree that there is a scarcity of medical care. In fact, the whole health care debate may just hinge on the question of whether the government or the market represents the most efficient and humane principal source of distribution of care — although the more ideological proponents on either side would likely insist that their positions are simply right, and that efficiency and / or humanitarian concerns — while addressed better by their approach, anyway — are simply not the issue. But assuming that at least a some part of the debate has to do with how best to handle scarcity, I’m left with wondering what that five-hour wait implies.
The (Coming) Age of Medical Capability
Personal update: I’m hoping to check out of the hospital today. I’ve been in for the past two nights after the back and chest spasms that initially caused me to miss this week’s show turned into a whole melange of seemingly unrelated symptoms. The final diagnosis is severe gastroenteritis of unknown cause. A CT scan showed my appendix as borderline, but my doctor (and a couple of his buds he conferred with) agree that it’s not the culprit so it stays. Anyhow they’ve had me on an IV for two days and I’ve finally stopped vomiting — plus the pain is mostly gone — so I’m hoping to get out later today.
A couple of days in the hospital is a handy reminder that — although we have made huge steps forward in basic medical care in recent years — we still have a long way to go. One of my three wishes is for everyone on earth to be healthy. For that to truly happen, human illness needs to become a solved game. We have a long way to go before that’s the case.
Notes on the Age of Capability
As discussed on the podcast a couple of weeks ago human capability is exploding. There are two major components of this rapid growth.
Our best-case capability, meaning the cutting-edge achievements that occur on the margins. Human capability includes every Olympic record ever set. It includes massive accomplishments such as traveling to the moon and building the Great Wall of China.
The distribution of capability, wherein capability that once belonged only to extreme outliers and powerful institutions becomes the domain of an increasingly generalized population. Film making is a good example of how capability is distributed. Imagine the resources that would have been required, 65 years ago, to make and widely distribute a 10-minute documentary film with nice titles and a background musical score. Only large corporations (or the government) could accomplish such a thing. Today grade-schoolers can do it, and they do. As we’ll see, this second factor becomes more important over time, especially in our current era.
Let’s compare human capability in two domains over the past 20,000 years. The domains are power, which we will measure in terms of the maximum mass that can be moved and the maximum speed for travel, and communication, which we will measure in terms of the number of options available for encoding and transmitting messages.
Fast Forward Radio — Three Wishes
What would it take to fundamentally transform our world for the better? Phil and Stephen discuss the three wishes that might just get us there.
Plus — a sneak preview of our upcoming special series,
The World Transformed II: Faster, Please