Author Archives: Phil Bowermaster

It Started Like This

The origin of spam:

In the spring of 1978, an energetic marketing man named Gary Thuerk wanted to let people in the technology world know that his company, the Digital Equipment Corporation, was about to introduce a powerful new computer system. DEC operated out of an old wool mill in Maynard, Massachusetts, and was well known on the East Coast, but Thuerk hoped to reach the technological community in California as well. He decided that the best way to do it was through the network of government and university computers then known as the Arpanet. Only a few thousand people used it regularly, but their names were conveniently printed in a single directory. After selecting six hundred West Coast addresses, Thuerk realized that he would never have time to call each one of them, or even to send out hundreds of individual messages. Then another idea occurred to him: what if he simply used the network to dispatch a single e-mail to all of them?

Read further to see how spam continues to evolve. It almost killed this blog a couple of years back. It seems to be highly adaptable, and possessed of a strong will to live.

I doubt we’ll be done contending with it any time soon.

(Via GeekPress.)

Otherwise Occupied

Blogging will be light (from me) today as I am off to Greeley Colorado for the Specudaughter’s college orientation. I am remiss in not mentioning that she recently graduated high school with a perfect 4.0 GPA and we just got word that she did very well on her International Baccalaureate finals. She ‘s currently planning on studying English (same major as the old man) with an eye to teaching high school or junior high.

Additionally, we expect that she will carry on with her martial arts studies.

Death Bonds

We discussed the future of medicine last night at the Boulder Future Salon. Some fascinating thoughts from the various participants, including the idea that health insurance is really just a gambling scheme. Every time we pay a premium, we’re betting that we’ll get sick. If we stay healthy, we lose the bet. If we get sick, we win. One of the members of the group is a woman who recently underwent a heart transplant operation — a big “winner” in the system by that accounting.

The parallel is even closer than most of us might realize. She explained that she is now essentially uninsurable. Think of the guy who figures out the winning blackjack scheme and then gets barred from all the casinos after taking too much of their money. Same basic idea.

Like health insurance, life insurance is a bet we place that pays out when something bad happens to us. With health insurance, we bet that we’ll get sick. With life insurance, we bet that we’ll die. Term life insurance is the most insidious. I’ve got a 20-year term policy that’s going to expire here in a few years. If I kick it at age 49, I’m way up. If I live to be 50, I lose.

Then this morning, I came across this (via GeekPress):

Death bond is shorthand for a gentler term the industry prefers: life settlement-backed security. Whatever the name, it’s as macabre an investing concept as Wall Street has ever cooked up. Some 90 million Americans own life insurance, but many of them find the premiums too expensive; others would simply prefer to cash in early. “Life settlements” are arrangements that offer people the chance to sell their policies to investors, who keep paying the premiums until the sellers die and then collect the payout. For the investors it’s a ghoulish actuarial gamble: The quicker the death, the more profit is reaped. Most of the transactions are done by small local firms called life settlement providers, which in the past have typically sold the policies to hedge funds. Now, Wall Street sees huge profits in buying policies, throwing them into a pool, dividing the pool into bonds, and selling the bonds to pension funds, college endowments, and other professional investors. If the market develops as Wall Street expects, ordinary mutual funds will soon be able to get in on the action, too.

I’m of two minds about this particular investment instrument. On the one hand, it seems that the people who get “invested in” this way have actually found a way to come out ahead on life insurance — they get to collect some of the money and be alive at the same time. On the other hand, I can’t muster a lot of good will towards those doing the investing — hoping that their fellow human beings will die sooner so that they see a better return.

Frankly, I hope many of them lose their shirts because the people they paid off end up living a lot longer than anybody anticipated.

It's a New Phil, Weeks 79 and 80

Something Weird with Your Arm

Well, my week off from reporting did not yield the benefit I was looking for — my weight remains at its stubborn, long plateau level of 230. I’m telling you, when this thing breaks, it’s going to break. But not this week.

Getting up from the breakfast table last Saturday, my wife commented that there was something “weird” with my arm. I looked at my arm but couldn’t see what she meant.

“Your muscle looks like it’s…sticking out or something…”

So it turns out that “something weird” with my arm was muscular definition. This is a good discovery for her to make, one that will help to brace her for changes to come. Eventually there’s going to be something weird with my whole body!

It’s a New Phil, Weeks 79 and 80

Something Weird with Your Arm

Well, my week off from reporting did not yield the benefit I was looking for — my weight remains at its stubborn, long plateau level of 230. I’m telling you, when this thing breaks, it’s going to break. But not this week.

Getting up from the breakfast table last Saturday, my wife commented that there was something “weird” with my arm. I looked at my arm but couldn’t see what she meant.

“Your muscle looks like it’s…sticking out or something…”

So it turns out that “something weird” with my arm was muscular definition. This is a good discovery for her to make, one that will help to brace her for changes to come. Eventually there’s going to be something weird with my whole body!

Why We Probably Won't See a Star Trek Future

A nice summary of the reasons via Black Belt Bayesian, one of the highly recommended blogs on the Accelerating Future domain. I especially liked this point:

Ideas have changed too little. In Star Trek’s society, as far as I know, there is no taboo of ours that has become universally accepted. Yes, the mores of Star Trek’s society are such that we consider them progressive, but progressives as little as 100 years ago would be shocked if they could see what sort of things we consider normal. It’d be unlikely if there were nothing in future customs to shock us. There don’t seem to be any genuinely new ideas on how to have society work, either. I’m thinking along the lines of prediction markets, or even just blogs. Like with many other points, I don’t blame the writers for this; it is in predicting the future of ideas that futurism runs into its hardest limits. But a future with no weird ideas is still deeply unrealistic, and that’s worth keeping in mind.

Stephen and I were just chatting about how any compelling discussion of the future has to get into the weird stuff sooner or later. And that’s not just social conventions, where I would agree that Star Trek dropped the ball. Once in a while, you would see a truly mind-blowing concept — an abandoned Dyson Sphere, an alien race that speaks only in literary metaphors, a species that grows its population by resurrecting the corpses of other abandoned life-forms — but more often than not you would get a lot of tried and true (and generally quite entertaining) stuff about Klingons and diplomatic crises and, of course, a “form of energy never encountered before” which causes problems for 55 minutes, only to be rectified in the last 5 after a Level One Diagnostic inspires a truly ingenious solution, usually involving the Main Deflector Dish (and reversing the polarity of something.)

Another idea missing from Star Trek — not, as the post points out, that the writers can be blamed for it — is the idea of a technological singularity. The closest Trek ever came to that idea was the end the first Star Trek movie. And even in that setting, there was this attitude of “maybe for thee, but not for me.” Relative to Speculist readers, the folks in Star Trek are relative luddites.

Remember when Q gave Riker all the powers of the Q continuum? Riker gave them back within the prescribed 60 minutes out of fear that he might “turn into something else.” There was this concern that he was becoming arrogant — he was doing things like addressing the captain by his first name!

I suspect most of us, given a similar offer, would handle it differently.

For example, how about keep the powers and don’t act like a total schmuck? Think of all the good he could have done for humanity if he kept them only for a week. Or if that’s too risky, think of all the unbelievably hot sex he could have had. (Just to put it in Riker-friendly terms.) In one episode, I remember Riker confessing to Picard that he didn’t ever intend to die — wow, those Q powers might have really helped with that one, buddy.

riker.jpg

Don’t be a schmuck, man

Actually, that would have been a fun device, if it had ever occurred to the writers. A couple of seasons later, have Riker get killed and then suddenly pop back to life — whereupon he confesses that he did, indeed, keep a little Q Juice for himself when he supposedly renounced those powers. He just set it up so that he’s immortal and unkillable. That would be an interesting quandary — what do you do on a starship where you have several hundred normal, vulnerable crew members and one guy who cannot be killed, no matter what? I guess he would become a sort of one-man away team.

Of course, Data could also have been that indestructible crew member. Have him run a full backup before every away mission. If things go well, they go well. But if Data gets blown up, well we just replicate a new model and upload the backup. Uploading (even for the freaking android character), life extension, cryonics — these ideas made scant appearances in Star Trek, and usually only for the purposes of poo-pooing them. Granted, these ideas are hard to package into entertainment products. The Matrix gives us a post-singularity world where conflicts between human and artificial intelligence are handled by elaborate martial arts fights and putting together (and unleashing!) massive arsenals of personal ordnance. A more “realistic” handling of some of the same issues can be found in a movie like Vanilla Sky — but I’ll take Star Trek or the Matrix over that, any time.



UPDATE: An alert reader reminds me that it was not an episode of TNG in which Riker declared his intention to live forever, but rather the end of the movie Star Trek: Generations. This reader writes:

Riker confessed to Picard that he intended to live forever at the end of Star Trek: Generations, not in a series episode. It went something like this:

Picard: After all, we’re only mortal.
Riker (grinning): Speak for yourself, sir. I intend to live forever.

(just paraphrasing; if you really want I can pull out the DVD and quote word-for-word!).

Don’t trouble yourself, friend. I think we got the gist. So perhaps Riker only came to his desire for immortality long after turning down the Q powers. In which case I can only remind the sometimes-bearded commander that in this life, timing is — if not everything — pretty darned important.

Schmuck.

Why We Probably Won’t See a Star Trek Future

A nice summary of the reasons via Black Belt Bayesian, one of the highly recommended blogs on the Accelerating Future domain. I especially liked this point:

Ideas have changed too little. In Star Trek’s society, as far as I know, there is no taboo of ours that has become universally accepted. Yes, the mores of Star Trek’s society are such that we consider them progressive, but progressives as little as 100 years ago would be shocked if they could see what sort of things we consider normal. It’d be unlikely if there were nothing in future customs to shock us. There don’t seem to be any genuinely new ideas on how to have society work, either. I’m thinking along the lines of prediction markets, or even just blogs. Like with many other points, I don’t blame the writers for this; it is in predicting the future of ideas that futurism runs into its hardest limits. But a future with no weird ideas is still deeply unrealistic, and that’s worth keeping in mind.

Stephen and I were just chatting about how any compelling discussion of the future has to get into the weird stuff sooner or later. And that’s not just social conventions, where I would agree that Star Trek dropped the ball. Once in a while, you would see a truly mind-blowing concept — an abandoned Dyson Sphere, an alien race that speaks only in literary metaphors, a species that grows its population by resurrecting the corpses of other abandoned life-forms — but more often than not you would get a lot of tried and true (and generally quite entertaining) stuff about Klingons and diplomatic crises and, of course, a “form of energy never encountered before” which causes problems for 55 minutes, only to be rectified in the last 5 after a Level One Diagnostic inspires a truly ingenious solution, usually involving the Main Deflector Dish (and reversing the polarity of something.)

Another idea missing from Star Trek — not, as the post points out, that the writers can be blamed for it — is the idea of a technological singularity. The closest Trek ever came to that idea was the end the first Star Trek movie. And even in that setting, there was this attitude of “maybe for thee, but not for me.” Relative to Speculist readers, the folks in Star Trek are relative luddites.

Remember when Q gave Riker all the powers of the Q continuum? Riker gave them back within the prescribed 60 minutes out of fear that he might “turn into something else.” There was this concern that he was becoming arrogant — he was doing things like addressing the captain by his first name!

I suspect most of us, given a similar offer, would handle it differently.

For example, how about keep the powers and don’t act like a total schmuck? Think of all the good he could have done for humanity if he kept them only for a week. Or if that’s too risky, think of all the unbelievably hot sex he could have had. (Just to put it in Riker-friendly terms.) In one episode, I remember Riker confessing to Picard that he didn’t ever intend to die — wow, those Q powers might have really helped with that one, buddy.

riker.jpg

Don’t be a schmuck, man

Actually, that would have been a fun device, if it had ever occurred to the writers. A couple of seasons later, have Riker get killed and then suddenly pop back to life — whereupon he confesses that he did, indeed, keep a little Q Juice for himself when he supposedly renounced those powers. He just set it up so that he’s immortal and unkillable. That would be an interesting quandary — what do you do on a starship where you have several hundred normal, vulnerable crew members and one guy who cannot be killed, no matter what? I guess he would become a sort of one-man away team.

Of course, Data could also have been that indestructible crew member. Have him run a full backup before every away mission. If things go well, they go well. But if Data gets blown up, well we just replicate a new model and upload the backup. Uploading (even for the freaking android character), life extension, cryonics — these ideas made scant appearances in Star Trek, and usually only for the purposes of poo-pooing them. Granted, these ideas are hard to package into entertainment products. The Matrix gives us a post-singularity world where conflicts between human and artificial intelligence are handled by elaborate martial arts fights and putting together (and unleashing!) massive arsenals of personal ordnance. A more “realistic” handling of some of the same issues can be found in a movie like Vanilla Sky — but I’ll take Star Trek or the Matrix over that, any time.



UPDATE: An alert reader reminds me that it was not an episode of TNG in which Riker declared his intention to live forever, but rather the end of the movie Star Trek: Generations. This reader writes:

Riker confessed to Picard that he intended to live forever at the end of Star Trek: Generations, not in a series episode. It went something like this:

Picard: After all, we’re only mortal.
Riker (grinning): Speak for yourself, sir. I intend to live forever.

(just paraphrasing; if you really want I can pull out the DVD and quote word-for-word!).

Don’t trouble yourself, friend. I think we got the gist. So perhaps Riker only came to his desire for immortality long after turning down the Q powers. In which case I can only remind the sometimes-bearded commander that in this life, timing is — if not everything — pretty darned important.

Schmuck.

Aliens!

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. Even if we do discover extraterrestrial life one day, I doubt we’ll ever find any forms of life more bizarre than some of the creatures we have right here on Earth. Look at these non-terrestrial life-forms, for example.

alienfish.jpg

And these are just part of a much larger undersea creepfest. After you look at enough of these images, you can almost start smelling the things. I don’t mean to be critical, but there are some plug-ugly fish living on this planet.

This one is still my favorite, however.

Via InstaPundit.

Welsh Fishing Buddies Save the Planet

All right, really they’re an organic chemist and a couple of engineers. But they got the idea for their Greenbox — a device that captures a vehicle’s carbon emissions and stores them for eventual processing as biofuel — while fiddling around with carbon dioxide in order to grow algae as apart of a fish-farming project.

greenbox.jpg

If the system takes off, drivers with a Greenbox would replace it when they fill up their cars and it would go to a bioreactor to be emptied.

Through a chemical reaction, the captured gases from the box would be fed to algae, which would then be crushed to produce a bio-oil. This extract can be converted to produce a biodiesel almost identical to normal diesel.

This biodiesel can be fed back into a diesel engine, the emptied Greenbox can be affixed to the car and the cycle can begin again.

The process also yields methane gas and fertilizer, both of which can be captured separately. The algae required to capture all of Britain’s auto emissions would take up around 1,000 acres.

Seems like a technology such as this — if it pans out — could be a big helping in cutting emissions during the long transitional phase from gas-powered vehicles to hybrids to plug-in hybrids to fully electric vehicles. And then once we’re fully electric, all we need is something to power the electric grid.

More squishy green algae goodness here.