Monthly Archives: February 2009

Goodbye, Rocky Mountain News

I always called it “the News” — I thought “the Rocky” was a stupid nickname for a newspaper. But that nickname was an example of marketing that worked. When I first came to Colorado two and a half decades ago, I remember there were either TV or radio ads with a jingle that went:

The News gets Denver up
The News gets Denver up
The News gets Denver up
Every morning!

(Sheesh, I feel like James Lileks rattling something like that off.)

I don’t think that ever caught on. A few years later, they did another set of ads in which locals gave testimonials as to how much they like the paper, with several of these folks referring to the paper as “the Rocky.” I had never heard anyone call it that before those ads — but the last couple of days I’ve hard people all over town lamenting the death of “the Rocky” — so maybe the Rocky Mountain News marketing folks got a meme going, there.

Anyway, it was “the News” to me. It was a two-paper city. You got your Post and you got your News. I liked the News because it was easier to read on public transportation, plus I liked the sports coverage better. On the other hand, the Post had Dilbert. So, you know, that’s something.

I haven’t subscribed to a local paper for years, but I was still sorry to see the News close down after 150 years. It was a real institution.

Also, I can’t help but wonder what the deaths of all these newspapers across the country has to say about my bet with Stephen. Newspapers are going away, but books will still be with us, and will thrive?

I got one US dollar that says so. We shall see.

Black Hole Eats Star

Very well made, and frightening to contemplate:

I note that the star keeps glowing at about the same level of luminosity throughout. At some point, the mass of the star would be less than the threshold required for fusion — but I’m not sure at what point the fusion process would begin to shut down. Maybe the black hole would swallow the entire star before it had the chance to burn out.

Also, I wonder what the time scale is. Decades? Centuries?

UPDATE: The first time I watched this, I didn’t have audio. The narrators says the process takes “millions of years.”

(via Geekpress.)

FastForward Radio

Stephen Gordon and Michael Darling talked about how, in spite of all our problems, the world is getting better all the time.

They also weighed in on Phil’s question “is genius born or created?” And they had a surprise “guest” at the end of the show!

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Can Genius Be Learned?

It’s an age-old question and I don’t think we’re any closer to a definitive answer. Are geniuses born that way? Malcolm Gladwell says anybody can be genius if they’re ready to devote 10,000 hours to the subject or discipline in which they want to display said genius. Dean Keith Simonton of the University of California, Davis, offers a somewhat more nuanced definition:

Geniuses are those who “have the intelligence, enthusiasm, and endurance to acquire the needed expertise in a broadly valued domain of achievement” and who then make contributions to that field that are considered by peers to be both “original and highly exemplary.”

I guess it isn’t really a matter of whether genius can be learned so much as acquired. (In my case, it took years of a watching TV plus a steady diet of Little Debbie Nutty Bars.) Whether the techniques that Gladwell suggests or the process that Simonton describes can actually lead to genius, I don’t know. But the Age of Acquirable Genius will arrive one day. That will be the day that we can master a new skill by taking a pill or simply “jacking in” to a learning interface that transfers the skills directly to us.

Of course, some will argue that this isn’t “real” genius, in the same sense — I suppose — that a face corrected by plastic surgery doesn’t reflect “real” beauty. (And, yes, sometimes they are far from it!)

And, relatively speaking, an individual in that age who learns how to compose Mozart-like symphonies in a matter of hours won’t be a genius. Anybody can do that. Maybe the individual who combines that skill with the ability to churn out Shakespeare-like poetry and Christopher-Wren-like architecture who then designs an entire virtual world — an ongoing interactive opera combining the most beautiful music, the most thrilling drama, and the most stunning sets imaginable — maybe that individual begins to approach genius. But then at that point, we might be back to Gladwell and his 10,000 hours.

Sharing the Highway

When I was in California last week, I was driving down highway 101 south from SFO towards the San Mateo bridge when I passed (and was later passed by) a truck pulling a trailer with the Tesla logo proudly displayed. The trailer was fully enclosed, so I couldn’t see the vehicle inside, but it was pretty cool to be sharing the road with the all-electric roadster of the future — even if the Tesla itself wasn’t moving under its own power.

Likewise, it will be very gratifying to see one of these babies out on the road in the very near future.

apterafromtherear.jpg

Interesting write-up available here. A year and a half ago, the Aptera seemed like a great idea, but a long way off and kind of science-fictiony. Now, not so much. Aptera appears to be on its way.

A Hundred Billion Trillion

From the department of Cool your jets, there, Sparky:

Life on Earth used to be thought of as a freak accident that only happened once.

But scientists are now coming to the conclusion that the universe is teeming with living organisms.

The change in thinking has come about because of the new belief there are an abundant number of habitable planets like Earth.

Alan Boss, of the Carnegie Institution in Washington DC, said there could be as many Earths as there are stars in the universe – one hundred billion trillion.

Um, no.

If he had said “planets,” okay. Maybe. But an Earth for every star? Nonsense. Let me put it this way — what makes an Earth an Earth? Size? Color? Moon?

Is Mars an Earth? Is Venus?

thehood.jpg

What about location? This planet is in the Mother of All Sweet Spots. How many Earths have the right combination of water, nitrogen, oxygen, and so forth, and sit in that tiny orbital band that lets water be liquid a lot of the time — not always ice or steam?

No that many, I’m thinking — something less than a hundred billion trillion bazillion or whatever.

So then why in the world would we call any planet that doesn’t meet those basic criteria an “Earth?” I don’t think we should.

Boss has some other thoughts:

Whether the life we find is intelligent is, however, less than inevitable.

“Intelligent life seems to be fleeting,” he said. “In terms of the universe it only exists for a fraction of time.”

He said it would be a massive coincidence for us to find intelligent life that exists at the same time as us. It is more likely to be bacteria or microbes.

“It is unlikely that ‘we’ will exist for a further 100,000 years,” he said.

Scare quotes around ‘we’ notwithstanding, I would lay even money — with anyone who cares to make such a bet –that 100,000 years from now there will be somebody living on this planet. Double or nothing these beings will still believe that they are us.

Any takers?

FastForward Radio

Specunomics!

Sunday night Phil Bowermaster, Stephen Gordon, and special guest Brian Wang discussed “Specunomics.” They spoke the growing world middle class, increasing government debt, and how the increased productivity of the future will factor in.

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Better All The Time #42


Dispatches from a rapidly changing, rapidly improving world

#42
02/13/2008

Take your pick — either this is a lucky Friday the 13th edition of Better
All the Time, or its the special Valentine’s Day edition, one day early. Either
way, the news is just as good.

Today’s Good Stuff:

bacteriasdaysarenumberedTN.jpg

 

  Quote of the Day

In fact, the bottom line is that, historically, the problems that technology
has addressed have gotten solved, and the ones that were dependent on politics
and so forth have not.

J. Storrs Hall

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Item 1

Wireless
Electricity Is Here (Seriously)

This could be really huge:

But strap on your rubber boots; Tesla’s dream has come true. After more than
100 years of dashed hopes, several companies are coming to market with technologies
that can safely transmit power through the air — a breakthrough that portends
the literal and figurative untethering of our electronic age. Until this development,
after all, the phrase "mobile electronics" has been a lie: How portable
is your laptop if it has to feed every four hours, like an embryo, through
a cord? How mobile is your phone if it shuts down after too long away from
a plug? And how flexible is your business if your production area can’t shift
because you can’t move the ceiling lights?

The world is about to be cured of its attachment disorder.

Tesla.jpg

The Good News

Look at it this way: in Kentucky, some people have been without power since
the first ice storm on January 27th. The number of folks suffering from the
power outage was down to a "mere" 30,000 earlier this week (from a
high of nearly nearly three quarters of a million) before wind storms knocked
out some additional infrastructure, leaving more
than 100,000 people in the state
without power.

Why does the power keep going out? Because the cables keep breaking. Wireless
power offers many promising possibilities — including electric transportation
without power cables or reliance on batteries — and keeping electricity working
even in the face of cable-breaking weather is an important one.





Top

Item 2

Extinct
ibex is resurrected by cloning

The Pyrenean ibex, a form of wild mountain goat, was officially declared
extinct in 2000 when the last-known animal of its kind was found dead in northern
Spain.

Shortly before its death, scientists preserved skin samples of the goat,
a subspecies of the Spanish ibex that live in mountain ranges across the country,
in liquid nitrogen.

The Good News

The scientists then placed genetic material from these skin samples into the eggs of domestic goats. The result? A newborn ibex.

If we can restore an extinct species, is there any reason to believe that we
can’t correct any of the damage that humanity has done to this planet’s ecosystem?
Bringing back an ibex is certainly an encouraging step, but it’s far too early
to say the species has been restored. The cloned ibex kid did not survive. But
the next one might. And after that, who knows? A passenger pigeon? A dodo?

How about a species whose extinction can in no wise be laid at the feet of
humanity.

A triceratops, perhaps?

(Just asking.)

ibex.jpg

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Item 3

Vitamin D
For Babies Boosts Growth, Cuts MS

Randall Parker reports:

Summer sunshine is suspected to cause taller children.

Those born in the late summer and early autumn are around half a centimetre
taller and have wider bones than their peers born in winter and spring,
an 18 year project found.

Expectant mothers lucky enough to be blooming in the hot months should
get enough sun to boost their vitamin D levels just by walking around outside
or even sunbathing.

But winter parents should consider taking vitamin supplements, researchers
at Bristol University recommended.

At the same time, some carry a genetic variant that might make them more
susceptible to multiple sclerosis when they do not get enough vitamin D before
and after birth.

The Good News

There has been a lot of controversy of late as to what — if any — proven
benefits can be linked with vitamins and other supplements. This kind of research
helps to shed some much-needed light. And if it leads to even preventing a few
children from getting MS, I think we can all agree that vitamin D is a wonderful
thing.

vitaminD.jpg

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Item 4


Waterproof Sand Could Green Deserts

Brian Wang reports in his blog, Next Big
Future
:

Waterproof sand – or as German scientist Helmut F. Schulze calls it
– hydrophobic sand, a nanotechnology wonder seven years in the making.

By simply laying down a 10-centimetre blanket of DIME Hydrophobic Materials
sand beneath typical desert topsoils, the new super sand stops water below
the roots level of the plants and maintains a water table, giving greenery
a constant water supply. 3000 tons/day is already being produced. 1 ton of
silicate coated sand would probably be good for 10 square meters. 4 days of
production to cover one square kilometer. More factories will be needed made
to scale this up to address the water crisis in the Middle East, Africa, India
and China.

With new hydrophobic sand in place, traditional watering of desert plants
five or six times a day can be reduced to one watering, saving 75 per cent
more water, a precious resource that is dwindling across the Arab Peninsula.

The Good News:

One day, humanity might take it upon itself to rebuild a planet (possibly Mars,
possibly a planet not yet discovered) so that it’s environment is hospitable
for human life. This proposed ambitious technology is called terraforming.

So, yes, one day we might try to terraform another planet. In the mean time,
isn’t it wonderful that we are figuring out how to "terraform" parts
of this planet?

waterproofsand.jpg

Top

Item 5

Better
Than Theory Predicts

Classical Values provides a quick
and very encouraging status report on the Polywell
Fusion
experiments

1. The machine is working way better than the usual theories predict
2. No one knows why (lots of suspicions floating around)
3. New instruments are being added
4. The current machine is called WB-7. WB 7.1 (no details) is in progress.

All this is very good news. It means what they have learned so far warrants
further efforts.

And then goes on to ask an excellent question:

Why hasn’t Polywell Fusion been funded by the Obama administration?

Of course, another great question would be why was it never funded by the Bush administration? But that doesn’t have the same forward-looking appeal. There’s still some hope that the current administration might choose to do so.

The Good News

Basically we’re talking about easy, cheap, safe, clean, non-radioactive, limitless
power. This is the Bussard concept for producing energy about which we have
written previously. In reflecting on the above question, it’s hard to imagine
anything that would better stimulate our economy. In fact, it’s hard to imagine
anything that would have a bigger or more beneficial on our economic future.

Faster, please.

fusionreactor.jpg

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Item 6

New
antibiotics would silence bugs, not kill them

In future, the most effective antibiotics might be those that don’t kill
any bacteria. Instead the drugs will simply prevent the bacteria from talking
with one another.

Drug-resistant bugs are winning the war against standard antibiotics as they
evolve resistance to even the most lethal drugs. It happens because a dose
of antibiotics strongly selects for resistance by killing the most susceptible
bacteria first.

If, however, researchers can identify antibiotics that neutralise dangerous
bacteria without killing them, the pressure to evolve resistance can be reduced.
One way to do that is to target the constant stream of chatter that passes
between bacteria as molecular signals.

The Good News:

With this approach, we will stop breeding increasingly more powerful strains
of bacteria with each new generation of antibiotic that is developed. We might
at last get the upper hand!

bacteriasdaysarenumbered.jpg

Top

Item 7
One
more step for private Moon mission

A spectrometer meant to fly to Mars on a European mission in 2016 will get
to the Moon first. The Dutch team that is building the instrument last week
announced it would send a scaled-up version, dubbed MoonShot, to the lunar
surface by 2011 with Odyssey Moon, a company headquartered in the Isle of
Man, UK.

If it works, the private MoonOne lander and its successors could serve scientists
much as a commercial trucking company serves wholesalers, providing a platform
to ferry science instruments and other payloads to the lunar surface.

The Good News

Today, private unmanned craft landing on the moon. Tomorrow, commercial
passenger service? One step at a time, folks.

privatemoonlander.jpg

Top


Item 8

JAGUAR
PICTURE: First Seen in Central Mexico Since 1900

February 11, 2009—The largest cat in the Americas is alive and well
in the heart of Mexico, scientists say.

Three photographs of a male jaguar and exactly 132 poop samples (including
the one above, released February 10) are the first known evidence of the predator
since the early 1900s.

The big cat was snapped by a camera trap in the Sierra Nanchititla Natural
Reserve.

The Good News

Welcome back, jaguar. You took a hundred years off and then decided to show
up again? Good for you.

And no cloning required!

jaguarisback.jpg



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Item 9

Biggest
Solar Deal Ever Announced — We’re Talking Gigawatts

The largest series of solar installations in history, more than 1,300 megawatts,
is planned for the desert outside Los Angeles, according to a new deal between
the utility Southern California Edison and solar power plant maker, BrightSource.

The momentous deal will deliver more electricity than even the largest nuclear
plant, spread out among seven facilities, the first of which will start up
in 2013. When fully operational, the companies say the facility will provide
enough electricity to power 845,000 homes — more than exist in San Francisco
— though estimates like that are notoriously squirrely.

The technology isn’t the familiar photovoltaics — the direct conversion
of sunlight into electricity — but solar thermal power, which concentrates
the sun’s rays to create steam in a boiler and spin a turbine.

The Good News

Solar thermal energy is such a great idea. Photovoltaics may, in the end, prove
to be the most efficient and productive means of turning the sun’s energy into
electricity, but isn’t it amazing that we’ve had "solar power" for
all these years and it’s only recently that people have seriously looked to
the sun as a power source…because of the heat it provides?

What will we think of next?

biggestsolarfarm.jpg

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Better All The Time was compiled by Phil Bowermaster. May you have a perfectly
mundane Friday the 13th and a Valentine’s Day that is anything but. And don’t
forget to live to see it!