Monthly Archives: October 2005

Welcome to the Future!!!

This could very well be the web site that changes your life. No kidding!

Are you ready for the future? Are you sure? And more importantly, is the future ready for you?

We’re so glad to have you here. You’ve landed on an archive page, so if you want to see what we’ve been up to lately, click here. For a quick dose of good news, visit out sister blog, L2si, where we feature dispatches from a rapidly changing, rapidly improving world. Or you can go here to see what’s happening with both blogs and find links to our podcasts.

So please, make yourselves at home. Have a look around. We’re glad to see you!

Richard Smalley: Visionary and Pioneer

Although we have dedicated no small amount of space to disagreeing with him on certain points over the years, it is beyond question that Richard Smalley, who died on Friday, was an integral leader of and contributor to the emerging field of nanotechnology.

Smalley won a Nobel Prize in chemistry for his discovery of buckminsterfullerene, fondly known as the “buckyball” in industry circles. This discovery represented a watershed moment for nanotechnology; it paved the way for the development of carbon nanotubes, the promise of which would be difficult to overstate.

In recent years, Smalley became a passionate advocate for developing alternative energy sources. He also carried on a long-term debate with K. Eric Drexler about the viability of the idea of nanotech assemblers.

His contributions will be long remembered.

Goodbye, Dr. Smalley. And thank you.

Cheer Up, Peggy

This is an open letter to Peggy Noonan, written in response to her recent troubling piece in the Wall Street Journal, A Separate Peace.

Dear Peggy,

What is up with the art-student angst? Cheer up, already. The subtitle of your most recent WSJ essay was “America is in trouble–and our elites are merely resigned,” an idea which you expanded upon with these words:

And some–well, I will mention and end with America’s elites. Our recent debate about elites has had to do with whether opposition to Harriet Miers is elitist, but I don’t think that’s our elites’ problem.

This is. Our elites, our educated and successful professionals, are the ones who are supposed to dig us out and lead us. I refer specifically to the elites of journalism and politics, the elites of the Hill and at Foggy Bottom and the agencies, the elites of our state capitals, the rich and accomplished and successful of Washington, and elsewhere. I have a nagging sense, and think I have accurately observed, that many of these people have made a separate peace. That they’re living their lives and taking their pleasures and pursuing their agendas; that they’re going forward each day with the knowledge, which they hold more securely and with greater reason than nonelites, that the wheels are off the trolley and the trolley’s off the tracks, and with a conviction, a certainty, that there is nothing they can do about it.

Fist off, I must say that — as a long-time reader and admirer — I’m mystified by the significance you ascribe to these “elites” and their outlook on the future. What is so all-fired important about the disposition of journalists and politicians? Is this what you learned working for Ronald Reagan? Are these the people he would have looked to to save us from impending catastrophe?

I don’t think so.

Our future has never been entirely in the hands of journalists and hack politicians in Washington. Luckily, it is even less so today than it was in the past. If these groups have made their “peace” with anything, it is probably with the fact that they simply don’t matter as much as they used to, and that they aren’t the ones shaping and determining the future.

The people who will determine the future are hard at work in the real world. Some of them may be classified as belonging to some sort of “elite;” but most of them do not. They work in business and in the public sector. They are educators, doctors, sales people, farmers, clergy, and, yes, even some journalists and politicians. They are scientists and engineers.

You’ve spent a long time working in and around the Washington political scene; you’re going to need to look outside that circle if you want to draw a bead on where our society is actually headed. I would urge you to pay particular attention to the activities and accomplishments of the latter two groups mentioned above. Aside from a — please forgive me — deeply misguided essay you wrote on cloning a while back (which I responded to here) I have not known you to have much to say on what’s happening in the scientific and technological arenas.

That, of course, is too big a topic for me to attempt to address in single blog entry, even in summary form. (Although we do take a stab at it every now and again.) But look into it for yourself. I think you will find that we do, indeed, face tremendous risks in the coming years. But we face even greater opportunities. And those who stand ready to help us overcome those risks and take advantage of those opportunities are not part of any tired Washington “elite.”

Look into it, Peggy. You may find that you disagree with some of the more outrageous-sounding projections of what’s coming next. But even these come from from sources at least as credible as Ted Kennedy, for heaven’s sake.

I, for one, think we’re going to have a wonderful future. And I’m ready to do what I can to make it happen. If the political and journalistic elites think otherwise and have decided to check out, well…I can imagine greater losses than that, to tell you the truth.

Please do look into it. Good luck.

Your faithful reader,

Phil Bowermaster


UPDATE: Blogger Dave Justus has more.

Hydrogen Car Update

Engineer Poet provides a withering analysis of the potential viability of the car that produces its own fuel about which we recently wrote. It looks as though the efficiency just isn’t there.

Good to know. However, I must take issue with EP’s conclusion:

Forget Hydrogen!

Surely that’s a little extreme? After all, it’s the most abundant element in the universe. It’s got to be good for something.

UPDATE FROM STEPHEN:

EP is right that energy is lost using hydrogen in a hydrogen fuel cell to produce electricity.

But this Engineuity concept car would use the hydrogen extracted from water in an internal combustion engine – exploding it like gasoline or diesel under pressure.

Also, there doesn’t appear to be significant loss of energy from heat because the heat is recycled to aid the electrolysis – am I right about this heat recycling? Someone with a engineering background needs to study that schematic on this point.

Anyway, EP may be right about hydrogen fuel cells, but this is a different idea.

UPDATE II:

The original IsraCast article now has an audio interview of project leader Professor Amnon Yogev.

According to the interview, reclaiming heat energy is a very important part of this concept. According to Yogev:

If you don’t find a way to use the heat…actually you reject half of the energy.

Rebel Rocketeer Reenactors

We at the Speculist wonder whether Discovery Channel will be a prime sponsor for a new Pro-Am unmanned “Tier 0″ division of the recently-announced Rocket Racing League (see our article “Rocketeers, start your engines…”) after last night’s public debut of the Hyneman-Savage Confederate Hybrid Rocket (v1.0) on Mythbusters (episode 40).

The 200 pound rocket, generating an estimated 800 pounds thrust was successfully launched from the M5 company’s test site in the California dry lakes region after a design-and-construction campaign of only 48 hours. Although members of the Speculist team in-the-know on such things observed multiple opportunities for improvement, there has been no announcement as to whether this new “Rebel” class might become the basis of a competition design.

While We're Fixing the UN…

A little tidbit caught my attention in this article from the Guardian about property rights on the moon (via GeekPress):

Behind the (fake) lunar title deeds for sale over the internet, there is a serious issue. The wonderfully named United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, which governs, well, outer space, is clear. Its 1967 Outer Space Treaty says no nation can claim ownership of any celestial body (including the moon) and that all nations must agree to their peaceful use. The UN says that private expeditions count as national activities and are covered by the treaty, which has been signed by all the major players. Lawyers disagreed and a second agreement – the 1979 International Moon Treaty – was drawn up to explicitly ban private ownership of lunar real estate. It received much less support and, to date, only France, India and the less than dominant space nations Guatemala, Peru and Romania have bothered to sign.

Gee, why does it upset the UN so much that they can’t control the US when they apparently get to call the shots for the entire universe? Our potential insectoid galactic overlords are going to have a real chuckle over that one. Wasn’t there a Pope in the middle ages who divided the world up into quarters (or thirds) and assigned each piece to some western crown? It’s somehow comforting to know that, for all the progress humanity has made, we’re still capable of the same kind of fatuous nonsense.

All of this talk about who owns what in space will only be settled when there are people truly living there and when commerce is established. The article goes on to suggest that the UN is King George to the would-be-settlers’ American colonists. Let’s hope it doesn’t come down to that. But if it does, I think I know which side I’m on.

Anyhow, while we’re giving the UN some good goals to work on accomplishing, maybe we should also help ween the institution from some of its more outrageous delusions.

While We’re Fixing the UN…

A little tidbit caught my attention in this article from the Guardian about property rights on the moon (via GeekPress):

Behind the (fake) lunar title deeds for sale over the internet, there is a serious issue. The wonderfully named United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, which governs, well, outer space, is clear. Its 1967 Outer Space Treaty says no nation can claim ownership of any celestial body (including the moon) and that all nations must agree to their peaceful use. The UN says that private expeditions count as national activities and are covered by the treaty, which has been signed by all the major players. Lawyers disagreed and a second agreement – the 1979 International Moon Treaty – was drawn up to explicitly ban private ownership of lunar real estate. It received much less support and, to date, only France, India and the less than dominant space nations Guatemala, Peru and Romania have bothered to sign.

Gee, why does it upset the UN so much that they can’t control the US when they apparently get to call the shots for the entire universe? Our potential insectoid galactic overlords are going to have a real chuckle over that one. Wasn’t there a Pope in the middle ages who divided the world up into quarters (or thirds) and assigned each piece to some western crown? It’s somehow comforting to know that, for all the progress humanity has made, we’re still capable of the same kind of fatuous nonsense.

All of this talk about who owns what in space will only be settled when there are people truly living there and when commerce is established. The article goes on to suggest that the UN is King George to the would-be-settlers’ American colonists. Let’s hope it doesn’t come down to that. But if it does, I think I know which side I’m on.

Anyhow, while we’re giving the UN some good goals to work on accomplishing, maybe we should also help ween the institution from some of its more outrageous delusions.

Worthy Goals

John Gardner, writing at Tech Central Station, has some suggestions for goals which he says could be achieved by the year 2015, the 75th anniversary of the United Nations, given sufficient buy-in around the world:

1. End international human trafficking.

2. Reduce malaria deaths by 75%.

3. Raise literacy rates to 75%.

4. End famines.

5. Free up farm trade.

6. Religious freedom.

7. Internet freedom.

8. Raise financing for development to 1% of GNP among OECD countries.

Read the whole thing for Gardner’s thoughts and analysis of each. These are, all of them, excellent ideas. The first one should have been settled once and for all a long time ago. Unfortunately, I don’t see 6 and 7 happening without some massive attitude changes taking place first in the West. So long as western companies are helping restrictive regimes control the Internet, and other Western institutions are helping religions (well, at least one religion) to impose its restrictions on the rest of society (also here), it won’t even be possible to get global consensus that these things should be happening, much less find ways to make them happen.

Items 2, 3, and 4 are doable both logistically and philosophically. (Item 8 probably is, too, but I don’t understand the issues well enough to comment.) If the UN could help make those three things happen, along with item 1, the institution would truly be on its way to fullfilling its founding ideals. Perhaps from there it would be ready to take on items 6 and 7.

Carnival of Tomorrow 12

The Carnival of Tomorrow is being hosted this week by Micah Glasser at The Event Horizon.

The Carnival of Tomorrow returns to The Speculist in two weeks. If you’d like to contribute to lucky 13 or host the 14th edition, please write:

mrstg87 {@ symbol} yahoo {dot} com

or

bowermaster {@symbol} gmail {dot} com