In the Future…
……sheep will learn to make rudimentary tools, and then we’re screwed.
Futurist: M104 member Robert Hinkley.
In the Future…
……sheep will learn to make rudimentary tools, and then we’re screwed.
Futurist: M104 member Robert Hinkley.
After this weeks festivities in Boston, whether you viewed them as a tremendous renewal of hope for our nation, a massive hot-air-athon, or an unwlecome disruption of your summer re-run viewing, what better wrap-up could there be than a little good news?
SpaceShipOne will fly September 29, 2004, making the first of its two qualifying flights required to win the X Prize.
We’ll be there. (Virtually, of course.)
SpaceShipOne will fly September 29, 2004, making the first of its two qualifying flights required to win the X Prize.
We’ll be there. (Virtually, of course.)
Britain’s “Frozen Ark” project boarded its first endangered passengers on Monday: an Arabian oryx, a Socorro dove, a mountain chicken, a Banggai cardinal, a spotted sea horse, a British field cricket and Polynesian tree snails.
The “ark”, a project by three British institutions, doesn’t include any living animals, but hopes to collect frozen DNA and tissue specimens from thousands of endangered species.
Like Noah, the scientists harbour hopes of repopulating the Earth.
This approach is similar to cryonics, but the aim is to preserve whole species rather than individual organisms. In both cases, it is assumed that the future holds the key to restoring that which we have lost (or in this case, are losing.)
This project assumes that, in the future, we will have the technology to restore these lost species, and to generate new populations of them. It also assumes that we will have — or have the ability to create — a suitable habitat for them. To support a project such as this may involve believing that the present is not all it should be, but one could not possibly get behind such an endeavor without believing that a better future is possible.
Prediction:
Most of us reading this will live to see the restoration of at least one “extinct” species of animal.
Researchers may have isolated (or may be close to isolating) the gene that determines susceptibility to lung cancer:
The Genetic Epidemiology of Lung Cancer Consortium (GELCC) examined 52 families who had at least three first-degree family members affected by lung, throat or laryngeal cancer. Of these 52 families, 36 had affected members in at least two generations. Using 392 known genetic markers, which are DNA sequences that are known to be common sites of genetic variation, the researchers generated and then compared the alleles (the different variations each gene can take) of all affected and non-affected family members who were willing to participate in the study.
First off, this is good news because it should provide some additional impetus for some people not to smoke. As the article explains:
Another interesting discovery the team made involved the effects of smoking on cancer risk for carriers and non-carriers of the predicted familial lung cancer gene. They found that in non-carriers, the more they smoked, the greater their risk of cancer. In carriers, on the other hand, any amount of smoking increased lung cancer risk. These findings suggest that smoking even a small amount can lead to cancer for individuals with inherited susceptibility.
Sure, many will argue that you would have to be crazy to smoke, anyway. Maybe the knowledge that you carry this gene would be enough to scare a long-time smoker into quitting; maybe not. But you would really have to be crazy to know that you carry this gene and go ahead and start smoking anyway.
Additionally, this news suggests a possible path to gene therapy treatments that could be used to prevent, maybe one day even cure, lung cancer. Great stuff.
Hat tip: M104 member and co-blogger Kathy Hanson
Posted by Phil at July 27, 2004 03:30 PM
In the Future…
…the market for almost-historical artifacts and souvenirs for tourists from alternate universes will be considerably larger.
(via InstaPundit)
FuturePundit Randall Parker reports that pregnant women often receive stem-cell therapy from the children they are carrying. Not only that, mothers (past and present) may turn out to be one of the best sources for fetal stem cells:
It is possible that many years after a pregnancy there are no longer cells in the mother’s body that are fetal and capable of becoming all cell types. But a better point at which to try to catch fetal cells from the blood stream of women would be while they are still pregnant or perhaps shortly after giving birth. If fully pluripotent stem cells can be isolated from the blood of pregnant women then this may well provide a source for such cells that will not raise religious hackles.
Randall notes a certain irony:
A confirmation of this result poses what seems to me an ethical problem for the religious opponents of embryonic stem cell research. If developing embryos effectively are donating human embryonic stem cells (hESC) to mothers and literally doing cell therapy to mothers then this natural process is doing something that at least some hESC therapy opponents consider to be morally repugnant.
It will be interesting to see where the various hESC research opponents come down on this result. Will they oppose the extraction of embryonic stem cells from a mother’s blood while she is pregnant. If so, on what moral basis?
My guess is that a large fraction of the hESC research opponents will decide that extraction of hESC from a mother’s blood is morally acceptable. No fetus will be killed by the extraction. The cells so extracted are not cells that would go on to become a complete new human life. If a sizable portion of the religious hESC opponents can be satisfied by this approach for acquiring hESC then Bianchi’s research may well lead to a method to get hESC that will open the gates to a much larger effort to develop therapies based on hESC.
Read the whole thing, including the comments. One reader observes that the opponents of stem cell research may spin this into a victory for their side, which might put the future of therapeutic cloning in jeopardy. This may be. On the other hand, if a means of acquiring embryonic stem cells can be developed that is acceptable to both sides of the debate, who’s to say that a mutually agreeable form of cloning (or a subsitute procedure providing the same benefits) can’t be developed?
One thing is for sure: it will prove a lot easier to “win” the stem cell debate by coming up with a solution that both sides like than it would have been to get one side to agree that we should walk away, or the other side to agree that it’s okay to kill an embryo. There’s a lot to be said for the win-win scenario.
Original Comments
Virginia!
Are we to understand that a Little Copyeditor is on the way? WONDERFUL!!!
When can we expect his/her arrival?
Posted by: Phil at July 26, 2004 02:29 PM
“If developing embryos effectively are donating human embryonic stem cells (hESC) to mothers and literally doing cell therapy to mothers then this natural process is doing something that at least some hESC therapy opponents consider to be morally repugnant.” I think he goes a bit too far with the statement It’s not the stem cell therapy or the stem cells or even the natural process that some people find morally repugnant. It’s the destruction of an embryo to get the stem cells. Many people would be very happy to get on board with stem cell therapy if we could find a way to get them from other organs, from developing embryos in utero, or another method we haven’t discovered yet.
I still think Stephen’s explanation of the process of harvesting cells before they differentiate (I can’t remember if it was a post or a comment, Stephen) might be persuasive enough for some people who are on the fence.
Posted by: Kathy at July 26, 2004 03:03 PM
Are we to understand that a Little Copyeditor is on the way? WONDERFUL!!!
When can we expect his/her arrival?
Indeed! My “due date” is January 15th, which means there is a 90% chance she will be born some day in January. And the “she” is not idle speculation–we found out at an ultrasound last Friday. My baby site:
Readers of John Barnes might notice the reference in the domain name.
Posted by: Virginia at August 2, 2004 10:29 AM
FuturePundit Randall Parker reports that pregnant women often receive stem-cell therapy from the children they are carrying. Not only that, mothers (past and present) may turn out to be one of the best sources for fetal stem cells:
It is possible that many years after a pregnancy there are no longer cells in the mother’s body that are fetal and capable of becoming all cell types. But a better point at which to try to catch fetal cells from the blood stream of women would be while they are still pregnant or perhaps shortly after giving birth. If fully pluripotent stem cells can be isolated from the blood of pregnant women then this may well provide a source for such cells that will not raise religious hackles.
Randall notes a certain irony:
A confirmation of this result poses what seems to me an ethical problem for the religious opponents of embryonic stem cell research. If developing embryos effectively are donating human embryonic stem cells (hESC) to mothers and literally doing cell therapy to mothers then this natural process is doing something that at least some hESC therapy opponents consider to be morally repugnant.
It will be interesting to see where the various hESC research opponents come down on this result. Will they oppose the extraction of embryonic stem cells from a mother’s blood while she is pregnant. If so, on what moral basis?
My guess is that a large fraction of the hESC research opponents will decide that extraction of hESC from a mother’s blood is morally acceptable. No fetus will be killed by the extraction. The cells so extracted are not cells that would go on to become a complete new human life. If a sizable portion of the religious hESC opponents can be satisfied by this approach for acquiring hESC then Bianchi’s research may well lead to a method to get hESC that will open the gates to a much larger effort to develop therapies based on hESC.
Read the whole thing, including the comments. One reader observes that the opponents of stem cell research may spin this into a victory for their side, which might put the future of therapeutic cloning in jeopardy. This may be. On the other hand, if a means of acquiring embryonic stem cells can be developed that is acceptable to both sides of the debate, who’s to say that a mutually agreeable form of cloning (or a subsitute procedure providing the same benefits) can’t be developed?
One thing is for sure: it will prove a lot easier to “win” the stem cell debate by coming up with a solution that both sides like than it would have been to get one side to agree that we should walk away, or the other side to agree that it’s okay to kill an embryo. There’s a lot to be said for the win-win scenario.
Original Comments
Sweet! Thanks, kid. (pats belly)
Posted by: Virginia at July 26, 2004 02:18 PM
Virginia!
Are we to understand that a Little Copyeditor is on the way? WONDERFUL!!!
When can we expect his/her arrival?
Posted by: Phil at July 26, 2004 02:29 PM
“If developing embryos effectively are donating human embryonic stem cells (hESC) to mothers and literally doing cell therapy to mothers then this natural process is doing something that at least some hESC therapy opponents consider to be morally repugnant.” I think he goes a bit too far with the statement It’s not the stem cell therapy or the stem cells or even the natural process that some people find morally repugnant. It’s the destruction of an embryo to get the stem cells. Many people would be very happy to get on board with stem cell therapy if we could find a way to get them from other organs, from developing embryos in utero, or another method we haven’t discovered yet.
I still think Stephen’s explanation of the process of harvesting cells before they differentiate (I can’t remember if it was a post or a comment, Stephen) might be persuasive enough for some people who are on the fence.
Posted by: Kathy at July 26, 2004 03:03 PM
Are we to understand that a Little Copyeditor is on the way? WONDERFUL!!!
When can we expect his/her arrival?
Indeed! My “due date” is January 15th, which means there is a 90% chance she will be born some day in January. And the “she” is not idle speculation–we found out at an ultrasound last Friday. My baby site:
Readers of John Barnes might notice the reference in the domain name.
Posted by: Virginia at August 2, 2004 10:29 AM
(Sorry, I couldn’t resist.)
It seems that one of our most cherished beliefs about black holes has been disproved. Stephen Hawking himself delivers the bad news:
“I’m sorry to disappoint science fiction fans, but if information is preserved there is no possibility of using black holes to travel to other universes,” he said. “If you jump into a black hole, your mass energy will be returned to our universe, but in a mangled form, which contains the information about what you were like, but in an unrecognizable state.”
Another consequence of his new calculations, Dr. Hawking said, is that there is no baby universe branching off from our own inside the black hole, as some theorists, including himself, have speculated.
Well, this doesn’t completely disprove the selfish biocosm hypothesis, as expounded by James N. Gardner in his book, Biocosm. But it looks as though intelligence-friendly universes are going to have to find a different way to reproduce. Black holes won’t cut it.
Sweet! Thanks, kid. (pats belly)
Posted by: Virginia at July 26, 2004 02:18 PM