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	<title>Comments on: The End of Theory?</title>
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	<link>https://blog.speculist.com/philosophy/the-end-of-theo.html</link>
	<description>Live to see it.</description>
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		<title>By: MikeD</title>
		<link>https://blog.speculist.com/philosophy/the-end-of-theo.html#comment-3808</link>
		<dc:creator>MikeD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 10:58:46 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[This reminded me of the Stargate SG1 Asgard&#039;s inability to think of lowly (human-like) solutions due to a history of powerful computing.  In that case, it took the relatively dumb idea of chemical projectile weapons to prevail where high-energy beam weapons failed.

If we&#039;ve always managed to leverage reasoning where brute-force power was unavailable, then increased power should give elegant reasoning even greater utility...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This reminded me of the Stargate SG1 Asgard&#8217;s inability to think of lowly (human-like) solutions due to a history of powerful computing.  In that case, it took the relatively dumb idea of chemical projectile weapons to prevail where high-energy beam weapons failed.</p>
<p>If we&#8217;ve always managed to leverage reasoning where brute-force power was unavailable, then increased power should give elegant reasoning even greater utility&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Stephen Gordon</title>
		<link>https://blog.speculist.com/philosophy/the-end-of-theo.html#comment-3807</link>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Gordon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jun 2008 08:09:59 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Agreed.  At the very least theory will inform scientists as to what questions to ask of the data.

But I think Anderson is right that this represents a fundamental shift in how science is done.

Arthur C. Clarke&#039;s distinguished but elderly &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke&#039;s_three_laws&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;scientist&lt;/a&gt; has inadvertently slowed progress in the past.  You can&#039;t blame them really.  Like everything else, science has limited resources.  Those distinguished old guys want to make sure to spend those resources wisely.  They don&#039;t won&#039;t to waste effort on fool&#039;s errands.

But Petabyte power reduces the cost of inquiry to the point that it won&#039;t hurt to ask &quot;foolish&quot; questions.  The distinguished old guys won&#039;t be able to slow progress, but their power to contribute (through good theory) will be amplified.

If, for example, you think that treating mitochondrial damage could extend life, maybe a huge double-blind study isn&#039;t necessary to get a rough answer.  Just consult the data.  If the answer is positive, then you set up the huge double-blind study.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agreed.  At the very least theory will inform scientists as to what questions to ask of the data.</p>
<p>But I think Anderson is right that this represents a fundamental shift in how science is done.</p>
<p>Arthur C. Clarke&#8217;s distinguished but elderly <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarke's_three_laws" rel="nofollow">scientist</a> has inadvertently slowed progress in the past.  You can&#8217;t blame them really.  Like everything else, science has limited resources.  Those distinguished old guys want to make sure to spend those resources wisely.  They don&#8217;t won&#8217;t to waste effort on fool&#8217;s errands.</p>
<p>But Petabyte power reduces the cost of inquiry to the point that it won&#8217;t hurt to ask &#8220;foolish&#8221; questions.  The distinguished old guys won&#8217;t be able to slow progress, but their power to contribute (through good theory) will be amplified.</p>
<p>If, for example, you think that treating mitochondrial damage could extend life, maybe a huge double-blind study isn&#8217;t necessary to get a rough answer.  Just consult the data.  If the answer is positive, then you set up the huge double-blind study.</p>
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